Happy Valley · 2024-07-04 · 11:12
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-04 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. MAJESTIC KNIGHT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Whyte, won by N, with WHIZZ KID second and BEAUTY WAVES third. The 1.5 favourite BEAUTY WAVES finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B 0.56.56 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.1 | N |
| 2 | 3 | WHIZZ KID V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | BEAUTY WAVES TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 1.5 | N |
| 4 | 2 | NERVOUS WITNESS CP1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | HUMBLE STAR SR/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL B/TT Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 5 | 6.1 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 7 | 34.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BEAUTY WAVES | 52.4% | 1.91 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | BABY CRYSTAL | 21.5% | 4.65 | 6 |
| 3 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 7.0% | 14.22 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | HUMBLE STAR | 5.3% | 18.79 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | NERVOUS WITNESS | 5.3% | 18.90 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 4.8% | 20.86 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | WHIZZ KID | 3.6% | 27.43 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 71.5
PLACE
1 16.5
3 19.5
6 11.5
QUINELLA
1,3 280
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 61.5
1,6 21
3,6 28.5
FORECAST
1,3 474
TIERCE
1,3,6 1,193
TRIO
1,3,6 106
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 82
QUARTET
1,3,6,2 3,114
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
1/1 337.5
1/3 86