Happy Valley · 2024-07-04 · 21:11
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT 1.48.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | ME TIME Closed strongly SR-/CP1/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 3 | 14.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | FOREVER GLORIOUS V/TT K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 8 | 16.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS Closed strongly H A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | SERANGOON Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.2 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 7 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 7 | 20.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE B/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 4 | 8.6 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY Led early H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 12 | 9.5 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG Closed strongly B C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 10 | 31.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 10 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly V M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 33.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | INTREPID WINNER B K De Melo · C W Chang | K De Melo | C W Chang | 9 | 22.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT B/TT B Thompson · W Y So | B Thompson | W Y So | 6 | 47.0 | 24-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-04 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. JOY OF SPRING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with ME TIME second and FOREVER GLORIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.0 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JOY OF SPRING | 28.7% | 3.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 10.0% | 9.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 9.7% | 10.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 9.7% | 10.34 | 8 |
| 5 | 2 | SERANGOON | 8.1% | 12.40 | 5 |
| 6 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 7.3% | 13.68 | 7 |
| 7 | 12 | ME TIME | 5.7% | 17.59 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | PALACE PAL | 5.6% | 17.88 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | LEGION OF MERIT | 4.4% | 22.77 | 12 |
| 10 | 1 | INTREPID WINNER | 4.1% | 24.53 | 11 |
| 11 | 8 | SUPER HONG KONG | 3.8% | 26.24 | 9 |
| 12 | 7 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 2.9% | 34.43 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 30.5
PLACE
3 14
5 39
12 38.5
QUINELLA
3,12 238.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 90.5
3,12 84
5,12 279.5
FORECAST
3,12 373
TIERCE
3,12,5 5,119
TRIO
3,5,12 1,091
FIRST 4
3,5,6,12 1,969
QUARTET
3,12,5,6 31,770
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
4/3 130.5
4/12 113.5