Happy Valley · 2024-07-10 · 19:06
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | NINJA DERBY Closed strongly H/TT 1.49.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | GO GO GO Closed strongly P/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 3.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 6 | TURTLE AGAIN Closed strongly B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FRUITY WARRIOR TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUNNY BABY CP B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 4 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly E E C W Wong · P F Yiu | E C W Wong | P F Yiu | 9 | 17.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | KEEN UNITY Closed strongly V/TT K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 10 | 8.6 | 6-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | CASA LEGEND Closed strongly P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 12 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly TT- M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | VULCANUS Led early B K H Chan · Y S Tsui | K H Chan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 51.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | TIGER AND GOLD B Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 2 | 66.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | FIGHTING MAN XB/B1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 18.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-10 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. NINJA DERBY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1-1/2, with GO GO GO second and TURTLE AGAIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite GO GO GO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GO GO GO | 28.6% | 3.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 12 | NINJA DERBY | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 6 | TURTLE AGAIN | 10.8% | 9.25 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 8.6% | 11.67 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | FIGHTING MAN | 7.4% | 13.58 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEN UNITY | 6.6% | 15.12 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | CASA LEGEND | 6.4% | 15.63 | 8 |
| 8 | 4 | HARRY'S HERO | 5.8% | 17.19 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | VULCANUS | 3.6% | 27.66 | 10 |
| 10 | 8 | SPLENDID STAR | 2.4% | 41.01 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | SUNNY BABY | 2.1% | 46.93 | 5 |
| 12 | 2 | TIGER AND GOLD | 0.6% | 159.22 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 44.5
PLACE
6 27
7 16.5
12 17
QUINELLA
7,12 70.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 64.5
6,12 68.5
7,12 31
FORECAST
12,7 150
TIERCE
12,7,6 819
TRIO
6,7,12 185
FIRST 4
3,6,7,12 265
QUARTET
12,7,6,3 5,127
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/7 112.5
10/12 952