Happy Valley · 2024-07-10 · 14:19
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-10 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. ATOMIC FORCE, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with RED ELEGANCE second and YOUTHFUL SPIRITS third. The 2.3 favourite YOUTHFUL SPIRITS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ATOMIC FORCE XB/TT 0.56.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 8 | 24.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | RED ELEGANCE B M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 3 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS H/SR/TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 1 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | KA YING CHEER V K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 2 | 2.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B2/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | ALPHA ONE H/TT Y L Chung · W K Mo | Y L Chung | W K Mo | 9 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | MOTOMAN B/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 58.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | DO YOUR PART A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 6 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | RICH HORSE TT1 B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 7 | 103.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 2 | YOUTHFUL DEAL B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
| — | 6 | HAPPY UNITED C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | YOUTHFUL SPIRITS | 43.4% | 2.31 | 3 |
| 2 | 8 | KA YING CHEER | 24.4% | 4.10 | 4 |
| 3 | 7 | RED ELEGANCE | 14.0% | 7.13 | 2 |
| 4 | 4 | ALPHA ONE | 4.9% | 20.40 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 4.5% | 22.26 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | ATOMIC FORCE | 3.3% | 29.92 | 1 |
| 7 | 9 | MOTOMAN | 2.7% | 36.80 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | DO YOUR PART | 2.3% | 43.73 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | RICH HORSE | 0.4% | 227.26 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 245
PLACE
3 12
5 42.5
7 16
QUINELLA
5,7 451.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 73
3,7 20
5,7 100.5
FORECAST
5,7 1,120
TIERCE
5,7,3 3,752
TRIO
3,5,7 262
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 80
QUARTET
5,7,3,8 5,425
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/5 661.5
3/7 20