Happy Valley · 2024-07-10 · 13:06
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-07-10 was Class 2 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. WOODFIRE BRO, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/2, with YELLOWFIN second and CHILL CHIBI third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite CHILL CHIBI finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT 1.37.90 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | YELLOWFIN XB A Atzeni · K W Lui | A Atzeni | K W Lui | 8 | 7.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | CHILL CHIBI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | HELENE FEELING CP/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 8.3 | 3 |
| 5 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT C Y Ho · P C Ng | C Y Ho | P C Ng | 5 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON B M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 2 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | BERLIN TANGO Closed strongly B/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 5.1 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | ADEFILL B K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 23.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE Led early TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 7.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 15.8% | 6.31 | 10 |
| 2 | 5 | CHILL CHIBI | 14.1% | 7.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 4 | ADEFILL | 11.9% | 8.40 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | HELENE FEELING | 10.6% | 9.47 | 4 |
| 5 | 8 | TURIN MASCOT | 10.4% | 9.59 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | YELLOWFIN | 8.6% | 11.63 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 8.1% | 12.36 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | OUTGATE | 8.0% | 12.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 7 | BERLIN TANGO | 6.4% | 15.53 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | WOODFIRE BRO | 6.0% | 16.57 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 114.5
PLACE
5 16
6 21.5
9 41
QUINELLA
6,9 490.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 55
5,9 97.5
6,9 166
FORECAST
9,6 1,181
TIERCE
9,6,5 5,088
TRIO
5,6,9 682
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 1,122
QUARTET
9,6,5,1 34,362
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
9/6 43
9/9 568.5