Happy Valley · 2024-09-25
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-25 was Class 5 over 1800m. ARTHUR'S KINGDOM, ridden by K Teetan and trained by Y S Tsui, won by 1-3/4, with FRUITY WARRIOR second and RIGHT HONOURABLE third. The winner led throughout. The 2.6 favourite JOYFUL PROSPERITY finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Wire to wire 1.49.54 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 8.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | FRUITY WARRIOR Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 1 | 4.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE Closed strongly B/XB M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 4 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 3 | 2.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN Closed strongly B A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 5 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | SUNNY BABY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | KINGLY DEMEANOR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 28.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR Closed strongly M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 10 | 41.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 23.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | TURTLE AGAIN B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 16.0 | 10 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUNNY BABY | 33.4% | 3.00 | 6 |
| 2 | 3 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 17.6% | 5.67 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 16.5% | 6.08 | 4 |
| 4 | 8 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 6.3% | 15.85 | 9 |
| 5 | 5 | TURTLE AGAIN | 6.1% | 16.33 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | FRUITY WARRIOR | 5.7% | 17.70 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | KYRUS UNICORN | 4.6% | 21.96 | 5 |
| 8 | 6 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.4% | 22.88 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 3.9% | 25.45 | 3 |
| 10 | 9 | SPLENDID STAR | 1.6% | 62.37 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 89
PLACE
3 25.5
4 17.5
10 36
QUINELLA
3,4 219.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 66.5
3,10 152
4,10 100.5
FORECAST
3,4 535
TIERCE
3,4,10 4,465
TRIO
3,4,10 1,034
FIRST 4
1,3,4,10 426
QUARTET
3,4,10,1 17,574