Happy Valley · 2024-09-25
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-25 was Class 5 over 1200m. SKY SONG, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with SPEEDY CHARIOT second and WOODFIRE CHAMP third. The 3.3 favourite BEAU GOSSE finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY SONG TT 1.10.59 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | SPEEDY CHARIOT B/TT B Avdulla · D J Whyte | B Avdulla | D J Whyte | 1 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP CP1/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 6 | 27.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | DAN ATTACK TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 5.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | GALLANT GOODY XB1 M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 8 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER B- A Badel · Y S Tsui | A Badel | Y S Tsui | 10 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | TATTENHAM H M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 12 | 42.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | BEAU GOSSE B/XB C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 3 | 3.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH B-/V1 Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 9 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | SUPER EAGLE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 11 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | ALLOY KING V H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 5 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | HERO WARRIOR CP-/H1/PC1/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 2 | 135.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SKY SONG | 16.7% | 5.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | DAN ATTACK | 15.5% | 6.46 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | BEAU GOSSE | 10.1% | 9.89 | 8 |
| 4 | 5 | SUPER EAGLE | 9.9% | 10.08 | 10 |
| 5 | 6 | SPEEDY CHARIOT | 9.5% | 10.50 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 9.3% | 10.70 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | TATTENHAM | 8.0% | 12.48 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | GALLANT GOODY | 5.9% | 16.94 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ALLOY KING | 5.5% | 18.24 | 11 |
| 10 | 12 | WIND SPEEDER | 4.4% | 22.94 | 6 |
| 11 | 9 | WOODFIRE CHAMP | 3.8% | 26.41 | 3 |
| 12 | 3 | HERO WARRIOR | 1.4% | 73.30 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 61.5
PLACE
1 21
6 14.5
9 54.5
QUINELLA
1,6 128
QUINELLA PLACE
1,6 44.5
1,9 178.5
6,9 127.5
FORECAST
1,6 257
TIERCE
1,6,9 3,161
TRIO
1,6,9 758
FIRST 4
1,2,6,9 926
QUARTET
1,6,9,2 18,285
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
3/1 647
3/6 106
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,10/1,6,9 87,387