Happy Valley · 2024-09-25
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly B-/XB2/TT 1.40.01 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 9.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 3.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 8 | 17.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | NINJA DERBY H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 6 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 2.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 56.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | TRADITION Closed strongly Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 9 | 56.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN Led early B/TT E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 4 | 8.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS CP/TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 8.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | ON THE LASH B/XB C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 10 | 93.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-25 was Class 4 over 1650m. ROCKET SPADE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with SUPER UNICORN second and COURIER MAGIC third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MATSU VICTOR finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SUPER UNICORN | 28.2% | 3.54 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | MATSU VICTOR | 15.3% | 6.55 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | BRAVE WITNESS | 13.7% | 7.29 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | NINJA DERBY | 9.5% | 10.54 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | ROCKET SPADE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | SURE JOYFUL | 8.6% | 11.60 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN | 5.7% | 17.65 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | COURIER MAGIC | 3.8% | 26.17 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | TRADITION | 3.2% | 31.27 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | DURHAM STAR | 2.1% | 46.99 | 7 |
| 11 | 6 | ON THE LASH | 0.7% | 148.95 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 94
PLACE
1 32.5
8 15.5
9 41.5
QUINELLA
1,8 258.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 81.5
1,9 233
8,9 113.5
FORECAST
1,8 734
TIERCE
1,8,9 10,263
TRIO
1,8,9 1,250
FIRST 4
1,8,9,11 2,823
QUARTET
1,8,9,11 63,940
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,6,12/1,8,9 31,305
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 238.5
4/8 29.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,11>8,9/4,6,12/1,8,9 1,310,295
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,11>8,9/4,6,12/Any Combination 1,404