Happy Valley · 2024-09-25
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC 1.40.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 10 | 11.0 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY B-/V1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 1.8 | HD |
| 4 | 10 | SUPER BABY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 6 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY Closed strongly V/TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 8 | 23.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 5 | 8.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | SNOWALOT B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 2 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART CITY CP/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 3 | 27.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | BEAUTIFUL WIN TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 9 | GALE SAGA M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2024-09-25 was Class 4 over 1650m. WINNING STEPS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P C Ng, won by SH, with PRINCE ALEX second and FOREMOST TEDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite FOREMOST TEDDY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 27.3% | 3.66 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 20.8% | 4.80 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | WINNING STEPS | 10.2% | 9.77 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SNOWALOT | 9.2% | 10.93 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER BABY | 7.0% | 14.35 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 6.9% | 14.57 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.7% | 14.94 | 10 |
| 8 | 1 | SMART CITY | 5.9% | 16.81 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX | 3.3% | 29.94 | 2 |
| 10 | 7 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 2.7% | 37.31 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 117
PLACE
3 29
8 11
11 33
QUINELLA
3,11 673
QUINELLA PLACE
3,8 36
3,11 151.5
8,11 53
FORECAST
3,11 1,490
TIERCE
3,11,8 5,016
TRIO
3,8,11 343
FIRST 4
3,8,10,11 1,034
QUARTET
3,11,8,10 41,311
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,12/3,11>8,9 98,953
3RD DOUBLE
12/3 2,185.5
12/11 640.5