Happy Valley · 2024-10-16 · 20:06
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT 1.39.68 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 8.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY Closed strongly V/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 5.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 2 | HIGHLAND RAHY CP/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 7 | 9.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER BABY Led early B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER Closed strongly CP1/TT1 C Y Ho · D Eustace | C Y Ho | D Eustace | 6 | 84.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 4 | 6.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | COURIER MAGIC Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 9 | 5.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Closed strongly Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 125.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | SMART ZIPANG B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 3 | 146.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 11 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 45.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 5 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE B1 K De Melo · K H Ting | K De Melo | K H Ting | 12 | 82.0 | 17 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-16 was Class 4 over 1650m. SURE JOYFUL, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with FOREMOST TEDDY second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite FOREMOST TEDDY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 26.6% | 3.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | PRINCE ALEX | 15.2% | 6.58 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | SURE JOYFUL | 13.8% | 7.23 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | CAN'T GO WONG | 13.2% | 7.60 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | SUPER BABY | 11.1% | 8.99 | 5 |
| 6 | 9 | COURIER MAGIC | 9.1% | 11.02 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | HIGHLAND RAHY | 4.6% | 21.90 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | SOLAR GOGO | 2.3% | 44.39 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | THE DOUBLE EAGLE | 2.1% | 46.69 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | APOLAR FIGHTER | 0.8% | 125.12 | 6 |
| 11 | 1 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 0.7% | 139.44 | 9 |
| 12 | 12 | SMART ZIPANG | 0.5% | 199.01 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 82
PLACE
4 22.5
6 18.5
8 15
QUINELLA
4,8 145
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 59.5
4,8 51
6,8 43
FORECAST
4,8 368
TIERCE
4,8,6 1,283
TRIO
4,6,8 174
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 459
QUARTET
4,8,6,2 12,216
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/4 2,780.5
9/8 263