Happy Valley · 2024-10-16 · 14:20
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-16 was Class 3 over 1650m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SIMPLY MAVERICK finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 8 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 5 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 7 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FRANTANCK Led early TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THE HEIR B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 101.0 | 4-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 24.1% | 4.15 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 16.3% | 6.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | THE HEIR | 9.5% | 10.53 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | RED MAJESTY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 7.8% | 12.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | AESTHETICISM | 6.4% | 15.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 4.1% | 24.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | FRANTANCK | 3.5% | 28.57 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.58 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 133.5
PLACE
4 18
8 39
10 38.5
QUINELLA
8,10 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 116
4,10 102
8,10 253
FORECAST
10,8 1,813
TIERCE
10,8,4 9,705
TRIO
4,8,10 1,394
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 4,342
QUARTET
10,8,4,12 114,495
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/8 343
1/10 1,110.5