Happy Valley · 2024-10-16 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly H/TT 1.38.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 16.0 | SH |
| 3 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/TT K Teetan · W K Mo | K Teetan | W K Mo | 8 | 5.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | RED MAJESTY Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 5 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED B Thompson · K W Lui | B Thompson | K W Lui | 1 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | AESTHETICISM Closed strongly B Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 2 | 3.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE SR/XB/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 7 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | FRANTANCK Led early TT M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 4 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | THE HEIR B/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 10 | 101.0 | 4-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2024-10-16 was Class 3 over 1650m. JUMBO LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with GLORIOUS JOURNEY second and CHAIN OF GOLD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite SIMPLY MAVERICK finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SIMPLY MAVERICK | 24.1% | 4.15 | 8 |
| 2 | 4 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 16.3% | 6.13 | 3 |
| 3 | 7 | THE HEIR | 9.5% | 10.53 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | MIGHTY STEED | 8.4% | 11.91 | 5 |
| 5 | 12 | RED MAJESTY | 8.1% | 12.38 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 7.8% | 12.82 | 6 |
| 7 | 6 | AESTHETICISM | 6.4% | 15.62 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 4.6% | 21.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 5 | IVY LEAGUE | 4.1% | 24.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | CALIFORNIA VOCE | 3.9% | 25.33 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | FRANTANCK | 3.5% | 28.57 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | JUMBO LEGEND | 3.3% | 30.58 | 1 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 133.5
PLACE
4 18
8 39
10 38.5
QUINELLA
8,10 886.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 116
4,10 102
8,10 253
FORECAST
10,8 1,813
TIERCE
10,8,4 9,705
TRIO
4,8,10 1,394
FIRST 4
4,8,10,12 4,342
QUARTET
10,8,4,12 114,495
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
1/8 343
1/10 1,110.5