Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 17:49
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | EMBRACES Closed strongly TT 1.34.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 4 | 4.8 | N |
| 2 | 11 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 13 | 7.3 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BLESSED NATION Closed strongly XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 9 | 53.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | FALLON Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY Closed strongly H K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 8 | 66.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | LO RIDER Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 10 | 8.5 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | IVY LEAGUE SR-/XB/BO1/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 2 | 47.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | TEST FOR LOVE L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 6 | 38.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 3 | CHING Closed strongly CP- B Avdulla · C W Chang | B Avdulla | C W Chang | 12 | 44.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | STELLAR SWIFT B/TT A Pouchin · D A Hayes | A Pouchin | D A Hayes | 14 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 7 | 5.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | PACKING TURBINE Led early TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 11 | 6.6 | 4-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | AMAZING VICTORY TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 3 over 1600m. EMBRACES, ridden by C L Chau and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with GLORIOUS SUCCESS second and BLESSED NATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | EMBRACES | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 18.8% | 5.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | FALLON | 12.0% | 8.33 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | CHARMING LEGEND | 10.2% | 9.83 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | AMAZING VICTORY | 8.2% | 12.21 | 14 |
| 6 | 1 | LUCY IN THE SKY | 6.7% | 14.99 | 5 |
| 7 | 6 | PACKING TURBINE | 4.7% | 21.46 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | LO RIDER | 3.6% | 27.74 | 7 |
| 9 | 12 | IVY LEAGUE | 3.2% | 31.51 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 2.2% | 44.89 | 6 |
| 11 | 3 | CHING | 2.1% | 48.53 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | TEST FOR LOVE | 1.8% | 54.23 | 9 |
| 13 | 13 | STELLAR SWIFT | 1.4% | 73.02 | 11 |
| 14 | 8 | BLESSED NATION | 1.3% | 74.32 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 48
PLACE
8 94.5
11 24.5
14 19
QUINELLA
11,14 159
QUINELLA PLACE
8,11 512.5
8,14 436
11,14 55
FORECAST
14,11 274
TIERCE
14,11,8 8,945
TRIO
8,11,14 2,382
FIRST 4
7,8,11,14 4,195
QUARTET
14,11,8,7 67,244
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
6/14/11 366
6/14/14 1,936
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,14/8,11,14 83,897
9TH DOUBLE
14/11 142.5
14/14 541
SIX UP
5/4/6/6/14/14 2,801,930
5,12/4,9/4,6/4,6/6,14/11,14 840
2 [P F Yiu] —
1 [Z Purton] —