Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 08:10
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 2 over 1400m. RUBYLOT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with YOUNG CHAMPION second and JOHANNES BRAHMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite YOUNG CHAMPION finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP 1.20.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 6.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 8 | 9.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 7.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | GLORY ELITE Led early H K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 5 | 38.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 3 | DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 12 | 48.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE TT A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | DIVANO TT A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 1 | 12.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 5.1 | 3 |
| 10 | 2 | OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 79.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | SING DRAGON M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 6 | 106.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 7 | 142.0 | 6-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD | 18.5% | 5.41 | 4 |
| 2 | 4 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 17.4% | 5.74 | 2 |
| 3 | 6 | RUBYLOT | 15.2% | 6.59 | 1 |
| 4 | 12 | JOHANNES BRAHMS | 14.2% | 7.06 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | DIVANO | 9.1% | 11.01 | 8 |
| 6 | 7 | SING DRAGON | 7.0% | 14.30 | 11 |
| 7 | 8 | SUNLIGHT POWER | 4.6% | 21.61 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 4.2% | 23.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 3 | DANCING CODE | 3.7% | 27.15 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | GLORY ELITE | 2.7% | 36.99 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | OUTGATE | 2.5% | 40.08 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 1.0% | 105.20 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 66.5
PLACE
4 13.5
6 19
12 24
QUINELLA
4,6 72
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 29
4,12 41
6,12 84
FORECAST
6,4 193
TIERCE
6,4,12 1,170
TRIO
4,6,12 178
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 201
QUARTET
6,4,12,1 5,244
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
4/4 164
4/6 1,643