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Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 16:06

Race 7

Class 2 1400m Course C+3 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.89
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP 1.20.89 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · D A Hayes 2 6.6 1/2
2 4 YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly E Z Purton · J Size 3 2.4 1/2
3 12 JOHANNES BRAHMS Closed strongly A Atzeni · P C Ng 8 9.1 1-1/4
4 1 PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 7.0 1-1/2
5 11 GLORY ELITE Led early H K C Leung · K H Ting 5 38.0 1-3/4
6 3 DANCING CODE Closed strongly B/TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 12 48.0 1-3/4
7 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE TT A Badel · T P Yung 4 26.0 2-1/4
8 5 DIVANO TT A Pouchin · K W Lui 1 12.0 2-3/4
9 8 SUNLIGHT POWER CP/H C L Chau · P F Yiu 9 5.1 3
10 2 OUTGATE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 79.0 3-1/4
11 7 SING DRAGON M Chadwick · M Newnham 6 106.0 3-1/2
12 10 FANTASTIC TREASURE B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 7 142.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 2 over 1400m. RUBYLOT, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with YOUNG CHAMPION second and JOHANNES BRAHMS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite YOUNG CHAMPION finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. RUBYLOT—2. YOUNG CHAMPION+0.5L3. JOHANNES BRAHMS+1.25L4. PACKING HERMOD+1.5L5. GLORY ELITE+1.75L6. DANCING CODE+1.75L7. TOURBILLON PRINCE+2.25L8. DIVANO+2.75L9. SUNLIGHT POWER+3L10. OUTGATE+3.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PACKING HERMOD (18.5%) finished 4th — the winner RUBYLOT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 PACKING HERMOD 18.5% 5.41 4
2 4 YOUNG CHAMPION 17.4% 5.74 2
3 6 RUBYLOT 15.2% 6.59 1
4 12 JOHANNES BRAHMS 14.2% 7.06 3
5 5 DIVANO 9.1% 11.01 8
6 7 SING DRAGON 7.0% 14.30 11
7 8 SUNLIGHT POWER 4.6% 21.61 9
8 9 TOURBILLON PRINCE 4.2% 23.63 7
9 3 DANCING CODE 3.7% 27.15 6
10 11 GLORY ELITE 2.7% 36.99 5
11 2 OUTGATE 2.5% 40.08 10
12 10 FANTASTIC TREASURE 1.0% 105.20 12
PACKING HERMODYOUNG CHAMPIONRUBYLOT — wonJOHANNES BRAHMSDIVANOSING DRAGONSUNLIGHT POWERTOURBILLON PRINCEDANCING CODEGLORY ELITEOUTGATEFANTASTIC TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 66.5

PLACE

4 13.5

6 19

12 24

QUINELLA

4,6 72

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 29

4,12 41

6,12 84

FORECAST

6,4 193

TIERCE

6,4,12 1,170

TRIO

4,6,12 178

FIRST 4

1,4,6,12 201

QUARTET

6,4,12,1 5,244

All pools (1 more)

6TH DOUBLE

4/4 164

4/6 1,643