Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 06:35
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 4 over 1200m. SUNNY DA BEST, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with INVINCIBLE LUCKY second and MY FLYING ANGEL third. Victory came as the 2.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST TT 1.09.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY B2 B Avdulla · M Newnham | B Avdulla | M Newnham | 3 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL B A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 16.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | PANDA TT1 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 7 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 6 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 2 | RIDING HIGH CP1/TT A Pouchin · A S Cruz | A Pouchin | A S Cruz | 4 | 23.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING DOUBLE H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | LUCKY BLESSING Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 11 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 2 | 49.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | FANTASTIC HONOUR K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 5 | 54.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 10 | 50.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | BIG RED · C W Chang | — | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | INVINCIBLE LUCKY | 23.6% | 4.23 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUNNY DA BEST | 20.3% | 4.93 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 12.5% | 8.01 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | RIDING HIGH | 7.5% | 13.32 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | ISLAND BUDDY | 6.4% | 15.61 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 6.1% | 16.44 | 3 |
| 7 | 4 | FANTASTIC HONOUR | 5.5% | 18.02 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | FLYING DOUBLE | 5.3% | 18.75 | 8 |
| 9 | 3 | PANDA | 4.0% | 24.94 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY BLESSING | 3.5% | 28.66 | 9 |
| 11 | 12 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.0% | 33.51 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | NOBLE DELUXE | 2.2% | 45.08 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 28
PLACE
1 15.5
8 13
10 36.5
QUINELLA
1,8 48.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 23.5
1,10 87.5
8,10 73.5
FORECAST
1,8 79
TIERCE
1,8,10 845
TRIO
1,8,10 206
FIRST 4
1,3,8,10 812
QUARTET
1,8,10,3 7,567
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/1,8,10 15,793
3RD DOUBLE
3/1 67.5
3/8 12.5