Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 15:05
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly 1.21.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 3.7 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | LUCKY FIONN Closed strongly CP/TT K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 9 | 2.6 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | CITY THUNDER Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 7.2 | N |
| 4 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER TT1 A Badel · T P Yung | A Badel | T P Yung | 4 | 58.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S B M Chadwick · K L Man | M Chadwick | K L Man | 12 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | FASHION LEGEND XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 1 | 8.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 14 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 159.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 62.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | ORIENTAL SMOKE Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 13 | 36.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | GENERAL SMART Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 103.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | FATAL BLOW L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 3 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | QUICK QUICK WIN Led early M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 7 | 131.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 6 | BLING BLING GENIUS CP/XB A Pouchin · D J Whyte | A Pouchin | D J Whyte | 10 | 94.0 | 10-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 4 over 1400m. JUNEAU PRIDE, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by SH, with LUCKY FIONN second and CITY THUNDER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite LUCKY FIONN finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CITY THUNDER | 27.0% | 3.70 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 17.8% | 5.60 | 1 |
| 3 | 12 | LUCKY FIONN | 16.9% | 5.93 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | FASHION LEGEND | 10.5% | 9.52 | 6 |
| 5 | 1 | MASTER TRILLION | 6.7% | 15.00 | 7 |
| 6 | 3 | FATAL BLOW | 5.0% | 20.10 | 12 |
| 7 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 5.0% | 20.16 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 2.7% | 36.63 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 2.5% | 40.50 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 2.3% | 43.38 | 14 |
| 11 | 9 | SOMETHING JONAH | 1.2% | 80.72 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | JOLLY JUMPER | 1.0% | 98.86 | 4 |
| 13 | 8 | QUICK QUICK WIN | 0.8% | 118.46 | 13 |
| 14 | 7 | GENERAL SMART | 0.6% | 172.62 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 37
PLACE
2 24.5
5 15
12 12.5
QUINELLA
5,12 45.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 49
2,12 44
5,12 21.5
FORECAST
5,12 113
TIERCE
5,12,2 466
TRIO
2,5,12 88
FIRST 4
2,5,11,12 798
QUARTET
5,12,2,11 11,573
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
3/1/5 310
3/1/12 37
4TH DOUBLE
1/5 135.5
1/12 16.5