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Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 17:16

Race 9

Class 3 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.19
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 14 DRAGON JOY Closed strongly SR/TT 1.34.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu 14 9.8 SH
2 6 MARKWIN Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo 1 2.7 SH
3 2 FAST NETWORK Closed strongly B-/TT Z Purton · C H Yip 3 6.4 1/2
4 11 SKY HEART Led early B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes 6 22.0 3/4
5 8 SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly B1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 11 12.0 3/4
6 1 MICKLEY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size 8 5.9 1-1/4
7 12 BEAUTY VIVA A Atzeni · P C Ng 10 116.0 1-1/2
8 9 STORM RIDER B Thompson · D A Hayes 2 27.0 2-3/4
9 10 FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly CP-/XB-/SR1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 46.0 2-3/4
10 13 MIDORI GIANT A Badel · M Newnham 4 37.0 3
11 3 TOP GUN CP1 M Chadwick · F C Lor 5 27.0 3-1/4
12 5 STEPS AHEAD C L Chau · K W Lui 12 7.0 3-1/2
13 7 KING MILES Closed strongly A Pouchin · K W Lui 13 58.0 3-3/4
14 4 HELENE WARRIOR XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum 7 107.0 7

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 3 over 1600m. DRAGON JOY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with MARKWIN second and FAST NETWORK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MARKWIN finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DRAGON JOY—2. MARKWIN+0.1L3. FAST NETWORK+0.5L4. SKY HEART+0.75L5. SILVERY BREEZE+0.75L6. MICKLEY+1.25L7. BEAUTY VIVA+1.5L8. STORM RIDER+2.75L9. FORTUNATE SON+2.75L10. MIDORI GIANT+3L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MARKWIN (32.9%) finished 2nd — the winner DRAGON JOY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 MARKWIN 32.9% 3.04 2
2 2 FAST NETWORK 21.3% 4.70 3
3 5 STEPS AHEAD 11.1% 9.00 12
4 1 MICKLEY 6.8% 14.70 6
5 8 SILVERY BREEZE 5.2% 19.14 5
6 14 DRAGON JOY 5.1% 19.54 1
7 11 SKY HEART 2.9% 34.04 4
8 13 MIDORI GIANT 2.9% 34.62 10
9 7 KING MILES 2.7% 37.17 13
10 9 STORM RIDER 2.5% 40.26 8
11 3 TOP GUN 2.4% 41.23 11
12 4 HELENE WARRIOR 1.7% 57.35 14
13 12 BEAUTY VIVA 1.3% 78.99 7
14 10 FORTUNATE SON 1.2% 85.74 9
MARKWINFAST NETWORKSTEPS AHEADMICKLEYSILVERY BREEZEDRAGON JOY — wonSKY HEARTMIDORI GIANTKING MILESSTORM RIDERTOP GUNHELENE WARRIORBEAUTY VIVAFORTUNATE SON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

14 98

PLACE

2 24.5

6 13.5

14 31.5

QUINELLA

6,14 167

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 39.5

2,14 156

6,14 64.5

FORECAST

14,6 381

TIERCE

14,6,2 3,738

TRIO

2,6,14 466

FIRST 4

2,6,11,14 1,482

QUARTET

14,6,2,11 39,980

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

6/6 10.5

6/14 313