Sha Tin · 2025-01-12 · 09:20
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-01-12 was Class 3 over 1600m. DRAGON JOY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with MARKWIN second and FAST NETWORK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite MARKWIN finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DRAGON JOY Closed strongly SR/TT 1.34.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 14 | 9.8 | SH |
| 2 | 6 | MARKWIN Closed strongly TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 2.7 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | FAST NETWORK Closed strongly B-/TT Z Purton · C H Yip | Z Purton | C H Yip | 3 | 6.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | SKY HEART Led early B-/TT M L Yeung · C Fownes | M L Yeung | C Fownes | 6 | 22.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | SILVERY BREEZE Closed strongly B1/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 8 | 5.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | BEAUTY VIVA A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 10 | 116.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | STORM RIDER B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 2 | 27.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | FORTUNATE SON Closed strongly CP-/XB-/SR1/TT- L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 46.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | MIDORI GIANT A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 4 | 37.0 | 3 |
| 11 | 3 | TOP GUN CP1 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 5 | 27.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 12 | 7.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 7 | KING MILES Closed strongly A Pouchin · K W Lui | A Pouchin | K W Lui | 13 | 58.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | HELENE WARRIOR XB/TT B Avdulla · C S Shum | B Avdulla | C S Shum | 7 | 107.0 | 7 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MARKWIN | 32.9% | 3.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | FAST NETWORK | 21.3% | 4.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | STEPS AHEAD | 11.1% | 9.00 | 12 |
| 4 | 1 | MICKLEY | 6.8% | 14.70 | 6 |
| 5 | 8 | SILVERY BREEZE | 5.2% | 19.14 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | DRAGON JOY | 5.1% | 19.54 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | SKY HEART | 2.9% | 34.04 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | MIDORI GIANT | 2.9% | 34.62 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | KING MILES | 2.7% | 37.17 | 13 |
| 10 | 9 | STORM RIDER | 2.5% | 40.26 | 8 |
| 11 | 3 | TOP GUN | 2.4% | 41.23 | 11 |
| 12 | 4 | HELENE WARRIOR | 1.7% | 57.35 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | BEAUTY VIVA | 1.3% | 78.99 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | FORTUNATE SON | 1.2% | 85.74 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 98
PLACE
2 24.5
6 13.5
14 31.5
QUINELLA
6,14 167
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 39.5
2,14 156
6,14 64.5
FORECAST
14,6 381
TIERCE
14,6,2 3,738
TRIO
2,6,14 466
FIRST 4
2,6,11,14 1,482
QUARTET
14,6,2,11 39,980
All pools (1 more)
8TH DOUBLE
6/6 10.5
6/14 313