Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 10:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 5 over 1800m. KINGLY DEMEANOR, ridden by M L Yeung and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with GOLD TACK second and LEATHER MASTER third. The winner led throughout. The 3.9 favourite MR ALADDIN finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Wire to wire TT 1.48.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 7 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly CP A Hamelin · D J Hall | A Hamelin | D J Hall | 4 | 9.9 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | LEATHER MASTER Closed strongly CP A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 12 | 4.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | MR ALADDIN Closed strongly H/PC/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 11 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | GO GO GO PC/TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN PC/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 1 | 91.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP-/B2/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION B/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 9 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 6 | TRADITION Closed strongly B H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 2 | 5.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 30.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | YEABOI TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 16.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | SILVER KING H/P/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 3 | 12.0 | 25-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SILVER KING | 18.2% | 5.51 | 12 |
| 2 | 8 | MR ALADDIN | 18.0% | 5.54 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | GO GO GO | 11.0% | 9.10 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | TRADITION | 10.9% | 9.20 | 9 |
| 5 | 10 | LEATHER MASTER | 8.4% | 11.84 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | GOLD TACK | 7.4% | 13.51 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | FLYING SILVER | 7.0% | 14.31 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | YEABOI | 5.2% | 19.39 | 11 |
| 9 | 12 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 4.7% | 21.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.2% | 23.68 | 1 |
| 11 | 7 | COLOURFUL BARON | 3.9% | 25.85 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | THE WAY WE WIN | 1.2% | 83.77 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 125
PLACE
2 36
10 17
11 31.5
QUINELLA
2,11 594
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 93
2,11 172.5
10,11 91
FORECAST
2,11 1,288
TIERCE
2,11,10 7,595
TRIO
2,10,11 1,022
FIRST 4
2,8,10,11 963
QUARTET
2,11,10,8 28,669