Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 19:41
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT 1.39.76 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | MIDORI FUJI Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 10 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 28.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 12 | COURIER MAGIC B-/XB/CP2 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 2.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | SUPER SICARIO H K De Melo · C Fownes | K De Melo | C Fownes | 7 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | PERPETUAL POWER Closed strongly C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 146.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 4.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM Led early H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 45.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 11.0 | 20 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAU CADEAU B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 4 | 162.0 | 22-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 4 over 1650m. SURE JOYFUL, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with MIDORI FUJI second and FOREVER GLORIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite COURIER MAGIC finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | COURIER MAGIC | 24.2% | 4.14 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | MIDORI FUJI | 23.2% | 4.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SUNDAY'S SERENADE | 19.0% | 5.28 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 7.0% | 14.32 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.7% | 14.96 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 6.6% | 15.12 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 5.0% | 20.13 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | SUNNY DARLING | 3.5% | 28.45 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | SUPER SICARIO | 1.9% | 53.97 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | ARTHUR'S KINGDOM | 1.6% | 61.08 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | PERPETUAL POWER | 0.7% | 136.63 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | BEAU CADEAU | 0.7% | 138.82 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 104.5
PLACE
2 26
3 72.5
5 16.5
QUINELLA
2,5 186.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 250
2,5 61
3,5 206.5
FORECAST
2,5 440
TIERCE
2,5,3 6,080
TRIO
2,3,5 982
FIRST 4
2,3,4,5 2,720
QUARTET
2,5,3,4 54,765
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/2,3,5 17,858
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 167
4/5 16