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Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 11:15

Race 2

Class 3 1000m Course B 7 runners

Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 3 over 1000m. SEASONS WIT, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by J Richards, won by 1-1/2, with ETERNAL FORTUNE second and STELLAR EXPRESS third. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.33
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SEASONS WIT B/TT 0.56.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · J Richards 1 2.7 1-1/2
2 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE B1/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 4 12.0 1-1/2
3 1 STELLAR EXPRESS PC-/B2 H Bowman · J Size 2 6.2 1-3/4
4 7 PARENTS' LOVE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 4.6 2
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 5 11.0 2-3/4
6 6 FLYING TING LOK H Bentley · K L Man 7 88.0 2-3/4
7 5 LOOKING BRIGHT Z Purton · F C Lor 3 3.3 8-1/4
8 STAR PERFORMER M Chadwick · M Newnham

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SEASONS WIT2. ETERNAL FORTUNE+1.5L3. STELLAR EXPRESS+1.75L4. PARENTS' LOVE+2L5. HEALTHY HEALTHY+2.75L6. FLYING TING LOK+2.75L7. LOOKING BRIGHT+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick LOOKING BRIGHT (26.8%) finished 7th — the winner SEASONS WIT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 5 LOOKING BRIGHT 26.8% 3.74 7
2 7 PARENTS' LOVE 20.3% 4.93 4
3 4 SEASONS WIT 18.3% 5.47 1
4 1 STELLAR EXPRESS 14.7% 6.81 3
5 3 HEALTHY HEALTHY 12.2% 8.20 5
6 2 ETERNAL FORTUNE 5.4% 18.60 2
7 6 FLYING TING LOK 2.4% 41.54 6
LOOKING BRIGHTPARENTS' LOVESEASONS WIT — wonSTELLAR EXPRESSHEALTHY HEALTHYETERNAL FORTUNEFLYING TING LOK

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 27.5

PLACE

1 16

2 31

4 10.5

QUINELLA

2,4 146.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 98.5

1,4 26.5

2,4 41.5

FORECAST

4,2 255

TIERCE

4,2,1 995

TRIO

1,2,4 194

FIRST 4

1,2,4,7 99

QUARTET

4,2,1,7 2,622

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/2 165.5

2/4 335