Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 2 over 1650m. CALIFORNIATOTALITY, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and C P BRAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite SOLEIL FIGHTER finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY Closed strongly B/TT 1.38.86 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 7 | 2.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | C P BRAVE Closed strongly V C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 3 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO Closed strongly TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | HELENE FEELING B/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 5 | 7.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS V/TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 4 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 6 | 19.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 50.9% | 1.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 14.5% | 6.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 10.7% | 9.33 | 7 |
| 4 | 1 | HELENE FEELING | 7.5% | 13.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 7.3% | 13.70 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | WOODFIRE BRO | 6.3% | 15.97 | 4 |
| 7 | 6 | C P BRAVE | 2.8% | 35.48 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 31
PLACE
4 10.1
5 12.5
6 28
QUINELLA
4,5 30.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 17
4,6 50
5,6 45
FORECAST
4,5 80
TIERCE
4,5,6 468
TRIO
4,5,6 98
FIRST 4
4,5,6,7 157
QUARTET
4,5,6,7 1,892
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
2/4 255.5
2/5 40