Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CAMBRIDGE Closed strongly XB/TT 1.49.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 7 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 2 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | SAMARKAND Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 10 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING Closed strongly TT A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 1 | 2.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD Closed strongly CP/H/XB/TT A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 4 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER B- M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly CP/TT K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 5 | 53.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | LEAN HERO B/XB/TT K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 9 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | LOVERO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | WITHOUT DELAY SR-/E1/TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 8 | 167.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 3 over 1800m. CAMBRIDGE, ridden by C L Chau and trained by P C Ng, won by 1/2, with EXCELLENCE VALUE second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.5 favourite JOY OF SPRING finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 33.0% | 3.03 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | JOY OF SPRING | 16.2% | 6.18 | 4 |
| 3 | 1 | MONEY CATCHER | 13.3% | 7.51 | 6 |
| 4 | 2 | ROCKET SPADE | 7.8% | 12.75 | 7 |
| 5 | 9 | CHAIN OF GOLD | 7.6% | 13.08 | 5 |
| 6 | 4 | LOVERO | 6.9% | 14.39 | 10 |
| 7 | 10 | LEAN HERO | 6.0% | 16.54 | 9 |
| 8 | 7 | SAMARKAND | 4.6% | 21.66 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | CAMBRIDGE | 2.5% | 39.28 | 1 |
| 10 | 6 | LUCK IS BACK | 1.2% | 82.27 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | WITHOUT DELAY | 0.6% | 159.71 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 253.5
PLACE
3 12
5 59
7 39
QUINELLA
3,5 451.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 127
3,7 74.5
5,7 366
FORECAST
5,3 1,302
TIERCE
5,3,7 16,475
TRIO
3,5,7 1,883
FIRST 4
3,5,7,8 704
QUARTET
5,3,7,8 33,658
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 115.5
1/5 5,279.5