Happy Valley · 2025-05-14 · 13:50
Race 7
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-05-14 was Class 4 over 1200m. HAYDAY, ridden by M F Poon and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with VULCANUS second and SOLAR RIVER third. The 3.0 favourite GLORY B finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | HAYDAY 1.10.03 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 10 | 23.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | VULCANUS B K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 7.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER CP/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 2 | 6.6 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | GLORY B CP H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 4 | 3.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO B Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | BEAUTY THUNDER TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 3 | 5.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | TACTICAL COMMAND B A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 12 | 17.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | MY FLYING ANGEL B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 11 | 57.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SWEET BRIAR V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GREAT SPIRIT CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 6 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 9 | RUN YES RUN M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 8 | 126.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 8 | JUDY'S GREAT TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 22.0 | 9-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | GLORY B | 22.5% | 4.44 | 4 |
| 2 | 6 | BEAUTY THUNDER | 18.2% | 5.50 | 6 |
| 3 | 3 | SWAGGER BRO | 14.0% | 7.16 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | SOLAR RIVER | 12.8% | 7.84 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | GREAT SPIRIT | 12.6% | 7.93 | 10 |
| 6 | 11 | VULCANUS | 4.3% | 23.11 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | TACTICAL COMMAND | 3.6% | 27.61 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | HAYDAY | 3.4% | 29.08 | 1 |
| 9 | 12 | MY FLYING ANGEL | 2.6% | 38.56 | 8 |
| 10 | 2 | SWEET BRIAR | 2.5% | 40.72 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | JUDY'S GREAT | 2.1% | 47.72 | 12 |
| 12 | 9 | RUN YES RUN | 1.4% | 70.31 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 238.5
PLACE
1 50
10 23.5
11 25
QUINELLA
1,11 795
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 277.5
1,11 233.5
10,11 83.5
FORECAST
1,11 1,660
TIERCE
1,11,10 17,476
TRIO
1,10,11 1,925
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 1,103
QUARTET
1,11,10,7 41,229
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,8/1,10,11 278,099
6TH DOUBLE
8/1 736.5
8/11 113
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,7/3,4,8/1,10,11 9,214,090
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,7/3,4,8/Any Combination 9,394