Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 18:42
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMILING EMPEROR Closed strongly V/XB 1.40.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 10 | 13.0 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | WINDICATOR FAMILY Closed strongly V A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 5 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE H/CP2/TT K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 2 | 7.6 | SH |
| 4 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 4 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 8 | 11.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | SHINKANSEN Led early CP/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | FAIRY HORSE SB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | PHANTOM CYCLONE B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 51.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | TRADITION Closed strongly B-/CP1 J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 26.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PODIUM TT Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 9 | 5.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | DECRELOT CP2/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 12 | 49.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 2 | ALL EYES ON ME B2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 1 | 93.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 5 over 1650m. SMILING EMPEROR, ridden by H Bentley and trained by K H Ting, won by SH, with WINDICATOR FAMILY second and BEAU GOSSE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.4 favourite FOREMOST TEDDY finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | WINDICATOR FAMILY | 16.8% | 5.96 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | FAIRY HORSE | 15.0% | 6.68 | 7 |
| 3 | 7 | PODIUM | 12.5% | 7.97 | 10 |
| 4 | 11 | HARRY'S HERO | 11.9% | 8.41 | 5 |
| 5 | 9 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 9.5% | 10.50 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SMILING EMPEROR | 8.3% | 12.04 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | SHINKANSEN | 8.0% | 12.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | TRADITION | 4.1% | 24.26 | 9 |
| 10 | 1 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 2.8% | 36.12 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | DECRELOT | 2.3% | 43.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 2 | ALL EYES ON ME | 1.3% | 76.99 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 136.5
PLACE
4 43
5 20.5
12 23
QUINELLA
4,5 355.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 111.5
4,12 197.5
5,12 73
FORECAST
4,5 653
TIERCE
4,5,12 3,842
TRIO
4,5,12 545
FIRST 4
4,5,9,12 594
QUARTET
4,5,12,9 16,077