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Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 13:50

Race 7

Class 4 1200m Course B 12 runners

Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1200m. GLORY B, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 1/2, with FORTUNE WHISKEY second and NEW POWER third. The 2.9 favourite FORTUNE WHISKEY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 GLORY B CP 1.10.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 9 14.0 1/2
2 2 FORTUNE WHISKEY B2/TT E C W Wong · D Eustace 2 2.9 1/2
3 5 NEW POWER M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 8.4 3/4
4 3 PATCH OF TIME L Ferraris · M Newnham 1 5.8 2
5 1 GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bowman · C Fownes 4 3.3 2-1/4
6 9 COUNTRY DANCER E K Teetan · J Size 7 21.0 3
7 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE CP B Thompson · D A Hayes 8 37.0 5
8 4 PRIME MORTAR V/TT J Orman · A S Cruz 6 13.0 5-1/4
9 12 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 11 28.0 6
10 7 HANDSOME BLOND SR-/E1/P1/TT C L Chau · C H Yip 12 127.0 6-3/4
11 8 COSMO LIGHT CP-/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 10 146.0 7-1/4
12 10 LOADED WITH FLUKE B1/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting 3 81.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. GLORY B2. FORTUNE WHISKEY+0.5L3. NEW POWER+0.75L4. PATCH OF TIME+2L5. GALAXY WITNESS+2.25L6. COUNTRY DANCER+3L7. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+5L8. PRIME MORTAR+5.25L9. TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR+6L10. HANDSOME BLOND+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PATCH OF TIME (23.5%) finished 4th — the winner GLORY B was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 PATCH OF TIME 23.5% 4.26 4
2 1 GALAXY WITNESS 19.1% 5.23 5
3 2 FORTUNE WHISKEY 16.2% 6.18 2
4 12 TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR 9.3% 10.75 9
5 5 NEW POWER 8.7% 11.45 3
6 6 GLORY B 7.0% 14.36 1
7 9 COUNTRY DANCER 6.1% 16.40 6
8 4 PRIME MORTAR 5.9% 17.06 8
9 11 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 1.8% 55.99 7
10 10 LOADED WITH FLUKE 1.2% 85.20 12
11 7 HANDSOME BLOND 0.7% 148.46 10
12 8 COSMO LIGHT 0.6% 165.64 11
PATCH OF TIMEGALAXY WITNESSFORTUNE WHISKEYTRIUMPHANT WARRIORNEW POWERGLORY B — wonCOUNTRY DANCERPRIME MORTARNIGHT PUROSANGUELOADED WITH FLUKEHANDSOME BLONDCOSMO LIGHT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 148.5

PLACE

2 12.5

5 21

6 34

QUINELLA

2,6 205

QUINELLA PLACE

2,5 41.5

2,6 76

5,6 100.5

FORECAST

6,2 551

TIERCE

6,2,5 2,687

TRIO

2,5,6 385

FIRST 4

2,3,5,6 408

QUARTET

6,2,5,3 10,795

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,5,8/2,5,6 3,187

6TH DOUBLE

4/2 23

4/6 193

TRIPLE TRIO

4,8,12/4,5,8/2,5,6 95,952

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

4,8,12/4,5,8/Any Combination 604