Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 12:15
Race 4
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1200m. AUTUMN DELIGHT, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with VICTOR THE RAPID second and REWARDING TWINKLE third. The 3.7 favourite GAMEPLAYER ELITE finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT 1.10.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 4 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID B-/XB-/TT1 E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 6 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE SR/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 9 | 16.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE SR H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 1 | 3.7 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | LOVEISINTHEAIR B-/TT J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 2 | 7.8 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | KNOW AT HEART K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON CP Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 12 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | SMART FIGHTER V1/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | COLONEL B-/TT2 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 7 | 51.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGEND STAR TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 8 | 19.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 4 | A LA CHAMP CP1 Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 11 | 52.0 | 16 |
| 12 | 8 | ISLAND BUDDY B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 10 | 5.8 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 0 | HAPPY PARK Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GAMEPLAYER ELITE | 23.0% | 4.34 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | KNOW AT HEART | 16.7% | 5.99 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 10.9% | 9.21 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | SMART FIGHTER | 9.7% | 10.28 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | LOVEISINTHEAIR | 9.0% | 11.06 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | ISLAND BUDDY | 8.0% | 12.46 | 12 |
| 7 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.6% | 15.08 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | REWARDING TWINKLE | 5.8% | 17.28 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 4.3% | 23.12 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | LEGEND STAR | 2.4% | 41.32 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | A LA CHAMP | 2.4% | 41.44 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | COLONEL | 1.1% | 94.97 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 65.5
PLACE
6 46.5
10 50.5
12 23
QUINELLA
6,12 485.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 360
6,12 181
10,12 186
FORECAST
12,6 937
TIERCE
12,6,10 10,160
TRIO
6,10,12 1,815
FIRST 4
3,6,10,12 1,687
QUARTET
12,6,10,3 43,825
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
10/6 204.5
10/12 407