Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 22:18

Race 8

Class 3 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 DEFINITIVE Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace 12 17.0 N
2 6 PRESTIGE ALWAYS Led early B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 10 13.0 N
3 9 SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 1 6.3 N
4 10 SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT J Orman · P F Yiu 5 22.0 1-1/4
5 7 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes 11 11.0 1-1/2
6 1 A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size 3 17.0 1-1/2
7 3 NOBLE PURSUIT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 2 16.0 2
8 8 LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards 6 4.3 2-3/4
9 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE B/TT H Bentley · M Newnham 4 4.3 3-1/2
10 12 FAST SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 9 53.0 3-1/2
11 11 WUKONG JEWELLERY TT B Thompson · J Size 8 75.0 4-1/4
12 5 KING OF FIGHTERS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 7 5.7 8-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 3 over 1650m. DEFINITIVE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by N, with PRESTIGE ALWAYS second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 8th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DEFINITIVE—2. PRESTIGE ALWAYS+0.05L3. SAMARKAND+0.05L4. SURE JOYFUL+1.25L5. STELLAR SWIFT+1.5L6. A AMERIC TE SPECSO+1.5L7. NOBLE PURSUIT+2L8. LUCKY TOUCH+2.75L9. EXCELLENCE VALUE+3.5L10. FAST SPEED+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SAMARKAND (25.4%) finished 3rd — the winner DEFINITIVE was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 SAMARKAND 25.4% 3.93 3
2 5 KING OF FIGHTERS 17.1% 5.86 12
3 2 EXCELLENCE VALUE 13.7% 7.30 9
4 8 LUCKY TOUCH 9.4% 10.67 8
5 1 A AMERIC TE SPECSO 7.1% 13.99 6
6 10 SURE JOYFUL 6.7% 14.86 4
7 7 STELLAR SWIFT 4.9% 20.34 5
8 4 DEFINITIVE 4.4% 22.72 1
9 3 NOBLE PURSUIT 4.2% 23.72 7
10 6 PRESTIGE ALWAYS 3.9% 25.94 2
11 11 WUKONG JEWELLERY 1.8% 55.79 11
12 12 FAST SPEED 1.4% 71.45 10
SAMARKANDKING OF FIGHTERSEXCELLENCE VALUELUCKY TOUCHA AMERIC TE SPECSOSURE JOYFULSTELLAR SWIFTDEFINITIVE — wonNOBLE PURSUITPRESTIGE ALWAYSWUKONG JEWELLERYFAST SPEED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 172.5

PLACE

4 42

6 41

9 20

QUINELLA

4,6 798

QUINELLA PLACE

4,6 239.5

4,9 166.5

6,9 134.5

FORECAST

4,6 1,503

TIERCE

4,6,9 10,773

TRIO

4,6,9 1,659

FIRST 4

4,6,9,10 4,445

QUARTET

4,6,9,10 106,169

All pools (1 more)

7TH DOUBLE

6/4 788.5

6/6 119.5