Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 14:20
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 3 over 1650m. DEFINITIVE, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D Eustace, won by N, with PRESTIGE ALWAYS second and SAMARKAND third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.3 favourite LUCKY TOUCH finished 8th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | DEFINITIVE Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 12 | 17.0 | N |
| 2 | 6 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS Led early B/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 10 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | SAMARKAND CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 6.3 | N |
| 4 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL Closed strongly TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 5 | 22.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B-/CP2/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 17.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 2 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY TOUCH Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 6 | 4.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE B/TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 4 | 4.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | FAST SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 53.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | WUKONG JEWELLERY TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 8 | 75.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 5.7 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | SAMARKAND | 25.4% | 3.93 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | KING OF FIGHTERS | 17.1% | 5.86 | 12 |
| 3 | 2 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 13.7% | 7.30 | 9 |
| 4 | 8 | LUCKY TOUCH | 9.4% | 10.67 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | A AMERIC TE SPECSO | 7.1% | 13.99 | 6 |
| 6 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL | 6.7% | 14.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT | 4.9% | 20.34 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | DEFINITIVE | 4.4% | 22.72 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 4.2% | 23.72 | 7 |
| 10 | 6 | PRESTIGE ALWAYS | 3.9% | 25.94 | 2 |
| 11 | 11 | WUKONG JEWELLERY | 1.8% | 55.79 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | FAST SPEED | 1.4% | 71.45 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 172.5
PLACE
4 42
6 41
9 20
QUINELLA
4,6 798
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 239.5
4,9 166.5
6,9 134.5
FORECAST
4,6 1,503
TIERCE
4,6,9 10,773
TRIO
4,6,9 1,659
FIRST 4
4,6,9,10 4,445
QUARTET
4,6,9,10 106,169
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 788.5
6/6 119.5