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Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 11:45

Race 3

Class 4 1650m Course B 10 runners

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1650m. SMART CITY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/2, with FORERUNNER second and OUR LUCKY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite RUN RUN TIMING did not finish.

Result

Official · 1.39.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 2 6.9 2-1/2
2 2 FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W K Mo 6 21.0 2-1/2
3 3 OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So 1 11.0 2-3/4
4 11 WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 17.0 5
5 5 ICONICAL TT H Bowman · J Richards 4 9.6 5-1/4
6 8 SOARING BRONCO PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 8 4.2 6
7 7 SIGHT SUPREME B J Orman · J Size 3 14.0 6-1/2
8 1 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 6.4 8-1/2
9 4 DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly B B Thompson · D A Hayes 12 29.0 9
10 6 LUCKY COMBINATION V/XB/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 7 70.0 17
0 ZETTA FORCE C L Chau · T P Yung
9 LESLIE Z Purton · C W Chang
12 RUN RUN TIMING TT A Atzeni · C H Yip 5 3.8

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART CITY2. FORERUNNER+2.5L3. OUR LUCKY GLORY+2.75L4. WAH MAY WAI WAI+5L5. ICONICAL+5.25L6. SOARING BRONCO+6L7. SIGHT SUPREME+6.5L8. FLAGSHIP WARRIOR+8.5L9. DASHING DRAGON+9L10. LUCKY COMBINATION+17L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SMART CITY (17.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 SMART CITY 17.4% 5.75 1
2 5 ICONICAL 15.0% 6.68 5
3 8 SOARING BRONCO 14.8% 6.75 6
4 7 SIGHT SUPREME 13.6% 7.36 7
5 1 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 11.8% 8.47 8
6 3 OUR LUCKY GLORY 9.7% 10.33 3
7 11 WAH MAY WAI WAI 7.4% 13.59 4
8 4 DASHING DRAGON 4.6% 21.68 9
9 2 FORERUNNER 4.2% 23.86 2
10 6 LUCKY COMBINATION 1.6% 63.83 10
SMART CITY — wonICONICALSOARING BRONCOSIGHT SUPREMEFLAGSHIP WARRIOROUR LUCKY GLORYWAH MAY WAI WAIDASHING DRAGONFORERUNNERLUCKY COMBINATION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 69

PLACE

2 53.5

3 35

10 20.5

QUINELLA

2,10 645

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 342.5

2,10 189

3,10 131

FORECAST

10,2 1,124

TIERCE

10,2,3 10,670

TRIO

2,3,10 1,605

FIRST 4

2,3,10,11 10,326

QUARTET

10,2,3,11 225,762

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,9,11/2,3,10 1,012,459

2ND DOUBLE

2/2 132.5

2/10 388