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Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 19:44

Race 3

Class 4 1650m Course B 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.69
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 10 SMART CITY Closed strongly CP/TT 1.39.69 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu 2 6.9 2-1/2
2 2 FORERUNNER Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W K Mo 6 21.0 2-1/2
3 3 OUR LUCKY GLORY Closed strongly TT H Bentley · W Y So 1 11.0 2-3/4
4 11 WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 17.0 5
5 5 ICONICAL TT H Bowman · J Richards 4 9.6 5-1/4
6 8 SOARING BRONCO PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng 8 4.2 6
7 7 SIGHT SUPREME B J Orman · J Size 3 14.0 6-1/2
8 1 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 9 6.4 8-1/2
9 4 DASHING DRAGON Closed strongly B B Thompson · D A Hayes 12 29.0 9
10 6 LUCKY COMBINATION V/XB/TT L Ferraris · F C Lor 7 70.0 17
— 0 ZETTA FORCE C L Chau · T P Yung — — —
— 9 LESLIE Z Purton · C W Chang — — —
— 12 RUN RUN TIMING TT A Atzeni · C H Yip 5 3.8 —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1650m. SMART CITY, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 2-1/2, with FORERUNNER second and OUR LUCKY GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite RUN RUN TIMING did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SMART CITY—2. FORERUNNER+2.5L3. OUR LUCKY GLORY+2.75L4. WAH MAY WAI WAI+5L5. ICONICAL+5.25L6. SOARING BRONCO+6L7. SIGHT SUPREME+6.5L8. FLAGSHIP WARRIOR+8.5L9. DASHING DRAGON+9L10. LUCKY COMBINATION+17L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SMART CITY (17.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 SMART CITY 17.4% 5.75 1
2 5 ICONICAL 15.0% 6.68 5
3 8 SOARING BRONCO 14.8% 6.75 6
4 7 SIGHT SUPREME 13.6% 7.36 7
5 1 FLAGSHIP WARRIOR 11.8% 8.47 8
6 3 OUR LUCKY GLORY 9.7% 10.33 3
7 11 WAH MAY WAI WAI 7.4% 13.59 4
8 4 DASHING DRAGON 4.6% 21.68 9
9 2 FORERUNNER 4.2% 23.86 2
10 6 LUCKY COMBINATION 1.6% 63.83 10
SMART CITY — wonICONICALSOARING BRONCOSIGHT SUPREMEFLAGSHIP WARRIOROUR LUCKY GLORYWAH MAY WAI WAIDASHING DRAGONFORERUNNERLUCKY COMBINATION

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

10 69

PLACE

2 53.5

3 35

10 20.5

QUINELLA

2,10 645

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 342.5

2,10 189

3,10 131

FORECAST

10,2 1,124

TIERCE

10,2,3 10,670

TRIO

2,3,10 1,605

FIRST 4

2,3,10,11 10,326

QUARTET

10,2,3,11 225,762

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,9,11/2,3,10 1,012,459

2ND DOUBLE

2/2 132.5

2/10 388