Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 12:45
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1650m. CAPITAL LEGEND, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with STERLING WONGCHOY second and SATIRICAL FAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite GLORIOUS JOURNEY finished 10th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY Led early B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 6 | 8.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 1 | 7.9 | 3 |
| 4 | 9 | CELESTIAL PATCH Closed strongly A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 11 | 7.4 | 4 |
| 5 | 7 | STORMI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 9 | 34.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SMART TRIO V/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 4 | 115.0 | 6 |
| 9 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 5 | 3.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | FIGOPUMPKIN B J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 2 | 110.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT B Thompson · P C Ng | B Thompson | P C Ng | 12 | 19.0 | 29-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GLORIOUS JOURNEY | 24.7% | 4.04 | 10 |
| 2 | 8 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 15.8% | 6.33 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 12.8% | 7.80 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | SATIRICAL FAN | 9.1% | 10.97 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 8.6% | 11.65 | 2 |
| 6 | 7 | STORMI | 7.4% | 13.46 | 5 |
| 7 | 5 | TURIN WARRIOR | 6.5% | 15.39 | 9 |
| 8 | 9 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 5.3% | 18.83 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 3.8% | 26.09 | 12 |
| 10 | 6 | GREAT SPIRIT | 3.7% | 26.76 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | FIGOPUMPKIN | 1.1% | 90.88 | 11 |
| 12 | 3 | SMART TRIO | 1.0% | 97.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 47
PLACE
4 24.5
8 18
12 30
QUINELLA
8,12 227
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 61.5
4,12 112
8,12 74.5
FORECAST
8,12 444
TIERCE
8,12,4 2,381
TRIO
4,8,12 509
FIRST 4
4,8,9,12 1,015
QUARTET
8,12,4,9 19,699
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
10/12/8 2,230
10/12/12 519
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
6,10,12/4,8,12 110,746
4TH DOUBLE
12/8 272.5
12/12 41