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Happy Valley · 2025-06-11 · 20:41

Race 5

Class 4 1650m Course B 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.27
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.27 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 8 4.7 1-1/4
2 12 STERLING WONGCHOY Led early B/XB M L Yeung · D J Whyte 6 8.5 1-1/4
3 4 SATIRICAL FAN TT H Bentley · C S Shum 1 7.9 3
4 9 CELESTIAL PATCH Closed strongly A Hamelin · D Eustace 11 7.4 4
5 7 STORMI Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung 10 18.0 4
6 2 FOREVER GLORIOUS Closed strongly V/TT L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 13.0 5-1/4
7 6 GREAT SPIRIT Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · C H Yip 9 34.0 5-1/4
8 3 SMART TRIO V/TT K Teetan · C W Chang 4 115.0 6
9 5 TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · K L Man 7 15.0 7-3/4
10 1 GLORIOUS JOURNEY TT Z Purton · F C Lor 5 3.0 11-1/2
11 10 FIGOPUMPKIN B J Orman · J Size 2 110.0 12-3/4
12 11 YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 12 19.0 29-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2025-06-11 was Class 4 over 1650m. CAPITAL LEGEND, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/4, with STERLING WONGCHOY second and SATIRICAL FAN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite GLORIOUS JOURNEY finished 10th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CAPITAL LEGEND—2. STERLING WONGCHOY+1.25L3. SATIRICAL FAN+3L4. CELESTIAL PATCH+4L5. STORMI+4L6. FOREVER GLORIOUS+5.25L7. GREAT SPIRIT+5.25L8. SMART TRIO+6L9. TURIN WARRIOR+7.75L10. GLORIOUS JOURNEY+11.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick GLORIOUS JOURNEY (24.7%) finished 10th — the winner CAPITAL LEGEND was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 GLORIOUS JOURNEY 24.7% 4.04 10
2 8 CAPITAL LEGEND 15.8% 6.33 1
3 2 FOREVER GLORIOUS 12.8% 7.80 6
4 4 SATIRICAL FAN 9.1% 10.97 3
5 12 STERLING WONGCHOY 8.6% 11.65 2
6 7 STORMI 7.4% 13.46 5
7 5 TURIN WARRIOR 6.5% 15.39 9
8 9 CELESTIAL PATCH 5.3% 18.83 4
9 11 YODA'S CHOICE 3.8% 26.09 12
10 6 GREAT SPIRIT 3.7% 26.76 7
11 10 FIGOPUMPKIN 1.1% 90.88 11
12 3 SMART TRIO 1.0% 97.65 8
GLORIOUS JOURNEYCAPITAL LEGEND — wonFOREVER GLORIOUSSATIRICAL FANSTERLING WONGCHOYSTORMITURIN WARRIORCELESTIAL PATCHYODA'S CHOICEGREAT SPIRITFIGOPUMPKINSMART TRIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 47

PLACE

4 24.5

8 18

12 30

QUINELLA

8,12 227

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 61.5

4,12 112

8,12 74.5

FORECAST

8,12 444

TIERCE

8,12,4 2,381

TRIO

4,8,12 509

FIRST 4

4,8,9,12 1,015

QUARTET

8,12,4,9 19,699

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

10/12/8 2,230

10/12/12 519

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

6,10,12/4,8,12 110,746

4TH DOUBLE

12/8 272.5

12/12 41