Happy Valley · 2025-09-17 · 11:15
Race 1
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-17 was Class 5 over 1000m. SILVER SPURS, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C Fownes, won by 1/2, with GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP second and CAMP FIRE third. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SILVER SPURS CP-/TT 0.57.08 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 4.1 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP B/TT Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 6 | 7.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 10 | CAMP FIRE SR/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NOBLE DELUXE B/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | COSMO NAVIGATOR B Y L Chung · C W Chang | Y L Chung | C W Chang | 7 | 54.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN B/TT A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 11 | 6.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | WISDOM STAR TT- K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 8 | 46.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO B R Kingscote · Y S Tsui | R Kingscote | Y S Tsui | 12 | 16.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | THE PRIME B/TT D Probert · J Richards | D Probert | J Richards | 1 | 30.0 | 5-3/4 |
| — | 5 | SPICY SO SMART V2/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 21.0 | — |
| — | 6 | HAPPY HORSE M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN FRIENDSHIP | 24.4% | 4.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | NOBLE DELUXE | 21.7% | 4.60 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | SILVER SPURS | 13.9% | 7.19 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | MODEST GENTLEMAN | 11.1% | 9.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | TRIUMPHANT WARRIOR | 9.1% | 11.01 | 5 |
| 6 | 10 | CAMP FIRE | 7.1% | 14.14 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | THE PRIME | 4.1% | 24.26 | 10 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY TANGO | 3.4% | 29.04 | 9 |
| 9 | 3 | COSMO NAVIGATOR | 2.8% | 36.36 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | WISDOM STAR | 2.4% | 41.70 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 41
PLACE
1 28.5
2 16
10 29
QUINELLA
1,2 164
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 61.5
1,10 130
2,10 74
FORECAST
2,1 281
TIERCE
2,1,10 2,315
TRIO
1,2,10 476
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 475
QUARTET
2,1,10,4 9,778