Happy Valley · 2025-09-17 · 20:11
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly B2/TT1 1.48.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 9 | 5.7 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 18.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | DILBAGH Closed strongly SR/XB/TT R Kingscote · D J Whyte | R Kingscote | D J Whyte | 3 | 36.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | ROMANTIC FANTASY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 7 | 6.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | FIREFOOT CP/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 5 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/XB/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 6 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 8 | 36.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | SAMARKAND CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.9 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR-/B1 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 2 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early TT M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 12 | 16.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY V/TT A Atzeni · A S Cruz | A Atzeni | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.9 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-17 was Class 4 over 1800m. FOREVER FOLKS, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C S Shum, won by 1, with SUPREME AGILITY second and CAN'T GO WONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite FIREFOOT finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 26.8% | 3.73 | 12 |
| 2 | 9 | FIREFOOT | 16.2% | 6.16 | 6 |
| 3 | 2 | SUPREME AGILITY | 12.7% | 7.90 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | ROMANTIC FANTASY | 8.9% | 11.22 | 5 |
| 5 | 5 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 8.1% | 12.36 | 11 |
| 6 | 1 | SAMARKAND | 6.3% | 15.89 | 9 |
| 7 | 4 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.7% | 21.16 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | FOREVER FOLKS | 4.0% | 25.18 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | CAN'T GO WONG | 3.8% | 26.10 | 3 |
| 10 | 11 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 3.3% | 30.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 7 | PERFECT PAIRING | 3.2% | 31.64 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | DILBAGH | 2.0% | 49.28 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 157
PLACE
2 19.5
3 46
8 48.5
QUINELLA
2,8 463.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 153.5
2,8 154
3,8 319.5
FORECAST
8,2 1,002
TIERCE
8,2,3 10,077
TRIO
2,3,8 1,812
FIRST 4
2,3,6,8 11,781
QUARTET
8,2,3,6 183,428
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/2 38
2/8 757