Happy Valley · 2025-09-17 · 14:55
Race 8
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-17 was Class 2 over 1650m. LO RIDER, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with ENCOUNTERED second and SOLEIL FIGHTER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.9 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LO RIDER Closed strongly H/SR1 1.38.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 3.9 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly TT- K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 6 | 10.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER CP-/XB Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 10 | 5.8 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 9 | 5.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 7.5 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 2 | 9.8 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | KEEFY E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 5 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | BRAVEHEARTS Closed strongly M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 8 | 12.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | VOYAGE SAMURAI Led early B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 36.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 3 | 37.0 | 15 |
| 11 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 85.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | WOODFIRE BRO TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 11 | 27.0 | 53-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LO RIDER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | JUMBO LEGEND | 19.0% | 5.27 | 5 |
| 3 | 7 | STEPS AHEAD | 18.7% | 5.34 | 4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 9.9% | 10.12 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 9.4% | 10.67 | 3 |
| 6 | 9 | KEEFY | 4.8% | 20.76 | 7 |
| 7 | 4 | ENCOUNTERED | 4.0% | 24.90 | 2 |
| 8 | 2 | VOYAGE SAMURAI | 3.9% | 25.37 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | BRAVEHEARTS | 3.5% | 28.85 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | WOODFIRE BRO | 2.8% | 36.05 | 12 |
| 11 | 3 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.7% | 36.74 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 2.1% | 48.26 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 39.5
PLACE
4 27
6 22.5
10 16.5
QUINELLA
4,10 323
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 107.5
4,10 117
6,10 56
FORECAST
10,4 538
TIERCE
10,4,6 3,061
TRIO
4,6,10 600
FIRST 4
4,6,7,10 524
QUARTET
10,4,6,7 14,058
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
2/1/4 675
2/1/10 1,597
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,4/4,6,10 35,620
7TH DOUBLE
1/4 98
1/10 347.5
SIX UP
2,8/3,5/1,11/2,3/1,2/4,10 13,985
8/5/1/2/1/10 1,148,470
2 [K Teetan] —
1 [C Fownes] —