Happy Valley · 2025-09-17 · 20:41
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT 1.39.91 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 3 | STAR CONTACT TT B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 7.1 | N |
| 3 | 6 | ANOTHER ZONDA Led early B M Chadwick · Y S Tsui | M Chadwick | Y S Tsui | 7 | 5.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | EXCELLENCE VALUE Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · M Newnham | Z Purton | M Newnham | 4 | 3.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID Closed strongly TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 6.6 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | HARMONY GALAXY TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 3 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | I CAN H/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 7.6 | 4-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-17 was Class 3 over 1650m. ROCKET SPADE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with STAR CONTACT second and ANOTHER ZONDA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite EXCELLENCE VALUE finished 5th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | EXCELLENCE VALUE | 21.8% | 4.59 | 5 |
| 2 | 6 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 13.5% | 7.40 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 12.6% | 7.92 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | ROCKET SPADE | 12.1% | 8.24 | 1 |
| 5 | 8 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 10.1% | 9.91 | 6 |
| 6 | 7 | HARMONY GALAXY | 8.5% | 11.75 | 7 |
| 7 | 1 | I CAN | 8.5% | 11.77 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | STAR CONTACT | 7.5% | 13.40 | 2 |
| 9 | 9 | SURE JOYFUL | 5.4% | 18.68 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 105.5
PLACE
3 23.5
5 29
6 16
QUINELLA
3,5 386
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 115.5
3,6 77.5
5,6 110.5
FORECAST
5,3 717
TIERCE
5,3,6 5,086
TRIO
3,5,6 821
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 1,093
QUARTET
5,3,6,2 26,503
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,8/3,5,6 93,089
3RD DOUBLE
8/3 246.5
8/5 1,623.5