Happy Valley · 2025-09-17 · 13:50
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-09-17 was Class 4 over 1200m. KING LOTUS, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by 1-3/4, with THE PERFECT MATCH second and SUPER UNIVERSAL third. The 4.1 favourite VULCANUS finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | KING LOTUS 1.09.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 7 | 6.2 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | THE PERFECT MATCH TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 9 | SUPER UNIVERSAL TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 5 | ACE POWER V/TT L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 10 | 18.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 11 | SKY SONG B/TT M F Poon · C Fownes | M F Poon | C Fownes | 2 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | VULCANUS B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.1 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE H/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 19.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 6 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GENIUS BABY B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 3 | 9.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | NEBRASKAN B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 11 | 8.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE CP/TT D Probert · P C Ng | D Probert | P C Ng | 9 | 90.0 | 9-1/2 |
| — | 0 | AMAZING VICTORY J Orman · C W Chang | J Orman | C W Chang | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VULCANUS | 25.6% | 3.91 | 6 |
| 2 | 4 | GENIUS BABY | 12.2% | 8.23 | 10 |
| 3 | 3 | THE PERFECT MATCH | 11.8% | 8.46 | 2 |
| 4 | 10 | NEBRASKAN | 8.4% | 11.89 | 11 |
| 5 | 7 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 7.7% | 13.05 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | SPICY SPANGLE | 7.0% | 14.23 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | SKY SONG | 5.9% | 16.97 | 5 |
| 8 | 2 | KING LOTUS | 5.9% | 16.98 | 1 |
| 9 | 9 | SUPER UNIVERSAL | 4.7% | 21.11 | 3 |
| 10 | 1 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 4.2% | 23.53 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | ACE POWER | 3.7% | 26.94 | 4 |
| 12 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.91 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 62
PLACE
2 24.5
3 20
9 44.5
QUINELLA
2,3 264
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 92
2,9 166.5
3,9 165.5
FORECAST
2,3 577
TIERCE
2,3,9 8,384
TRIO
2,3,9 1,418
FIRST 4
2,3,5,9 3,808
QUARTET
2,3,9,5 77,027
All pools (3 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,11/2,3,9 60,653
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 335.5
1/3 37
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,6/1,3,11/Any Combination 14,559