Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 05:05
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was Class 4 over 1200m. SALON S, ridden by M F Poon and trained by F C Lor, won, with SUPER DRAGON second and COOL BOY third. The 1.6 favourite GEORGIAN SIGMA finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SALON S 1:09.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | — |
| 2 | 14 | SUPER DRAGON J McDonald · M Newnham | J McDonald | M Newnham | 5 | 4.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 3 | COOL BOY J Orman · J Richards | J Orman | J Richards | 11 | 50.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | GEORGIAN SIGMA Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 12 | 1.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | ELITE GOLF H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 6 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | TURIN CHAMPIONS K De Melo · D A Hayes | K De Melo | D A Hayes | 8 | 29.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | FALCON HUNTER C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 13 | 114.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 7 | FOREVER FANCY D Probert · K W Lui | D Probert | K W Lui | 7 | 58.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | WORD OF KINDNESS Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 3 | 105.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | STAR ELEGANCE L Ferraris · D J Whyte | L Ferraris | D J Whyte | 2 | 50.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 8 | JOLLY BRILLIANT H Doyle · P F Yiu | H Doyle | P F Yiu | 1 | 24.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 14 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 13 | 5 | EXCELLENT BOY R Kingscote · C W Chang | R Kingscote | C W Chang | 10 | 88.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 9 | RUBY THRIVE C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 9 | 24.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | GEORGIAN SIGMA | 42.1% | 2.37 | 4 |
| 2 | 14 | SUPER DRAGON | 8.8% | 11.32 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | SALON S | 7.6% | 13.14 | 1 |
| 4 | 11 | STAR ELEGANCE | 6.2% | 16.26 | 10 |
| 5 | 9 | RUBY THRIVE | 5.9% | 17.09 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | JOLLY BRILLIANT | 5.8% | 17.30 | 11 |
| 7 | 13 | WORD OF KINDNESS | 4.3% | 23.25 | 9 |
| 8 | 1 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 3.7% | 27.16 | 12 |
| 9 | 5 | EXCELLENT BOY | 3.4% | 29.26 | 13 |
| 10 | 3 | COOL BOY | 2.8% | 35.98 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | TURIN CHAMPIONS | 2.8% | 36.11 | 6 |
| 12 | 4 | ELITE GOLF | 2.6% | 38.64 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | FOREVER FANCY | 2.5% | 39.37 | 8 |
| 14 | 6 | FALCON HUNTER | 1.6% | 64.13 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 117
PLACE
3 73.5
10 20.5
14 13.5
QUINELLA
10,14 182
QUINELLA PLACE
3,10 293.5
3,14 208
10,14 51.5
FORECAST
10,14 475
TIERCE
10,14,3 11,902
TRIO
3,10,14 2,123
FIRST 4
2,3,10,14 491
QUARTET
10,14,3,2 21,783