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Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 15:42

Race 6

Class 4 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:38.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 SUPREME AGILITY Closed strongly 1:38.94 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng 13 7.5 —
2 10 CALIFORNIA STAR Closed strongly M Chadwick · A S Cruz 7 11.0 NOSE
3 14 SIGHT DREAMER Closed strongly M L Yeung · J Size 10 22.0 1/2
4 11 HAPPY ACTION Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes 4 11.0 2-1/4
5 13 NIGHT PUROSANGUE Closed strongly B Avdulla · D A Hayes 2 4.4 3-3/4
6 7 FORTUNE KINGO Closed strongly R Kingscote · K H Ting 14 59.0 4-3/4
7 8 BRIGHT MORTAR Closed strongly H Bentley · P C Ng 5 67.0 5
8 12 YODA'S CHOICE L Ferraris · P C Ng 9 8.9 5-3/4
9 9 SPECIAL HEDGE Closed strongly C L Chau · C W Chang 12 28.0 6-1/4
10 2 SHANGHAI STYLE J McDonald · C S Shum 6 8.2 6-1/2
11 1 MR COOL A Atzeni · F C Lor 1 5.1 6-3/4
12 6 FASHION LEGEND E C W Wong · D Eustace 3 16.0 7-1/2
13 3 LUCK IS BACK Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 23.0 10-3/4
14 4 YOUNG BRILLIANT Led early P N Wong · C H Yip 8 28.0 13-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was Class 4 over 1650m. SUPREME AGILITY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won, with CALIFORNIA STAR second and SIGHT DREAMER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.4 favourite NIGHT PUROSANGUE finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPREME AGILITY—2. CALIFORNIA STAR+0.05L3. SIGHT DREAMER+0.5L4. HAPPY ACTION+2.25L5. NIGHT PUROSANGUE+3.75L6. FORTUNE KINGO+4.75L7. BRIGHT MORTAR+5L8. YODA'S CHOICE+5.75L9. SPECIAL HEDGE+6.25L10. SHANGHAI STYLE+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick MR COOL (20.3%) finished 11th — the winner SUPREME AGILITY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 MR COOL 20.3% 4.93 11
2 13 NIGHT PUROSANGUE 14.2% 7.06 5
3 2 SHANGHAI STYLE 10.3% 9.71 10
4 6 FASHION LEGEND 9.7% 10.27 12
5 10 CALIFORNIA STAR 8.5% 11.78 2
6 5 SUPREME AGILITY 7.3% 13.64 1
7 11 HAPPY ACTION 5.6% 18.01 4
8 12 YODA'S CHOICE 5.0% 19.91 8
9 9 SPECIAL HEDGE 5.0% 20.17 9
10 3 LUCK IS BACK 4.5% 22.23 13
11 14 SIGHT DREAMER 3.6% 27.49 3
12 4 YOUNG BRILLIANT 3.1% 32.51 14
13 8 BRIGHT MORTAR 1.7% 58.65 7
14 7 FORTUNE KINGO 1.2% 80.62 6
MR COOLNIGHT PUROSANGUESHANGHAI STYLEFASHION LEGENDCALIFORNIA STARSUPREME AGILITY — wonHAPPY ACTIONYODA'S CHOICESPECIAL HEDGELUCK IS BACKSIGHT DREAMERYOUNG BRILLIANTBRIGHT MORTARFORTUNE KINGO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 75.5

PLACE

5 25

10 32.5

14 66.5

QUINELLA

5,10 507

QUINELLA PLACE

5,10 142.5

5,14 253.5

10,14 473

FORECAST

5,10 936

TIERCE

5,10,14 15,857

TRIO

5,10,14 2,960

FIRST 4

5,10,11,14 7,328

QUARTET

5,10,14,11 116,061

All pools (3 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,9/5,10,14 245,857

5TH DOUBLE

4/5 989

4/10 142

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,12/4,7,9/Any Combination 33,554