Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 17:59
Race 10
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT Closed strongly 1:34.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.3 | — |
| 2 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER Closed strongly B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 10 | 10.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | MAX QUE Closed strongly A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 1 | 6.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 12 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | POPE CODY Closed strongly J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 8 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | ANOTHER WORLD C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 13 | 47.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 7 | PRESTIGE GOOD C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 11 | 56.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | LEGENDARY YEARS M L Yeung · B Crawford | M L Yeung | B Crawford | 3 | 76.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | YUEN LONG ELITE Closed strongly H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 4 | 5.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 23.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MORGAN SUCCESS Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 14 | 39.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CALIFORNIA WAVES H Doyle · W K Mo | H Doyle | W K Mo | 7 | 32.0 | 5 |
| 13 | 2 | WINNING GOLD Led early E C W Wong · W Y So | E C W Wong | W Y So | 2 | 40.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 6 | 45.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 12 | FLYING LUCK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was an unclassified race over Nonem. BEAUTY BOLT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won, with MISTER DAPPER second and MAX QUE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | BEAUTY BOLT | 34.6% | 2.89 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | MAX QUE | 14.7% | 6.79 | 3 |
| 3 | 8 | FORTUNE BOY | 9.3% | 10.79 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 8.6% | 11.59 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | POPE CODY | 4.1% | 24.17 | 5 |
| 6 | 13 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 4.0% | 25.04 | 10 |
| 7 | 12 | ANOTHER WORLD | 3.9% | 25.70 | 6 |
| 8 | 2 | WINNING GOLD | 3.9% | 25.81 | 13 |
| 9 | 6 | MORGAN SUCCESS | 3.7% | 26.82 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | PRESTIGE GOOD | 3.4% | 29.07 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | MISTER DAPPER | 3.4% | 29.14 | 2 |
| 12 | 1 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 2.6% | 37.82 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | CALIFORNIA WAVES | 2.4% | 41.14 | 12 |
| 14 | 14 | LEGENDARY YEARS | 1.2% | 83.03 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 23.5
PLACE
5 13.5
9 21
10 30
QUINELLA
5,10 134.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,9 33
5,10 55.5
9,10 87
FORECAST
5,10 243
TIERCE
5,10,9 1,263
TRIO
5,9,10 281
FIRST 4
5,8,9,10 438
QUARTET
5,10,9,8 7,537
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
F/8/5 649
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/5,9,10 43,908
9TH DOUBLE
8/5 676
8/10 536.5
SIX UP
4,9/5,10/2,9/F/4,8/5,10 2,179
1 [P C Ng] —
1 [Z Purton] —