Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 15:08
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUCEPHALAS Closed strongly 1:22.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 8.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING DATA Closed strongly R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | OLDTOWN Closed strongly Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TOP PEAK Led early K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 9 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | BLING BLING GENIUS Closed strongly H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LAHORE Closed strongly L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 14 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 5 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | WATCH THE FORT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 124.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 11 | 90.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | ZETTA FORCE H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 6 | 17.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 1 | AEROVOLANIC J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | — | 9.9 | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was Class 4 over 1400m. BUCEPHALAS, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won, with THE GOLDEN KNIGHT second and WINNING DATA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.5 favourite THE GOLDEN KNIGHT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | OLDTOWN | 15.9% | 6.27 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 14.6% | 6.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | ZETTA FORCE | 10.9% | 9.18 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 9.6% | 10.46 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 9.3% | 10.79 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LAHORE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING DATA | 7.0% | 14.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | TOP PEAK | 6.5% | 15.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 3.9% | 25.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | BUCEPHALAS | 3.1% | 32.70 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT | 1.5% | 65.48 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | WATCH THE FORT | 1.4% | 70.70 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 80.5
PLACE
4 29
7 41.5
9 18
QUINELLA
4,9 249
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 199.5
4,9 91.5
7,9 155
FORECAST
4,9 511
TIERCE
4,9,7 5,638
TRIO
4,7,9 1,146
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 2,152
QUARTET
4,9,7,3 49,732
All pools (2 more)
1ST TREBLE
14/2/4 4,330
14/2/9 246
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 1,252
2/9 46.5