沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 07:10
第 5場
2025-11-15沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的BUCEPHALAS勝出。THE GOLDEN KNIGHT獲得亞軍；WINNING DATA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.5倍大熱門THE GOLDEN KNIGHT跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUCEPHALAS 後段發力 1:22.25 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 10 | 8.0 | — |
| 2 | 9 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT 後段發力 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 4.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING DATA 後段發力 R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 4 | 16.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | OLDTOWN 後段發力 Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 13 | 5.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 6 | TOP PEAK 早段領放 K Teetan · B Crawford | K Teetan | B Crawford | 9 | 36.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | BLING BLING GENIUS 後段發力 H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 12 | 6.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | LAHORE 後段發力 L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 14 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 3 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 5 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | WATCH THE FORT J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 2 | 124.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT D Probert · D Eustace | D Probert | D Eustace | 11 | 90.0 | 12 |
| 13 | 13 | ZETTA FORCE H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 6 | 17.0 | 16-1/2 |
| — | 1 | AEROVOLANIC J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | — | 9.9 | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | OLDTOWN | 15.9% | 6.27 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | THE GOLDEN KNIGHT | 14.6% | 6.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 13 | ZETTA FORCE | 10.9% | 9.18 | 13 |
| 4 | 2 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 9.6% | 10.46 | 6 |
| 5 | 5 | CALIFORNIA DEEPLY | 9.3% | 10.79 | 9 |
| 6 | 8 | LAHORE | 8.7% | 11.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 14 | BLING BLING GENIUS | 7.8% | 12.79 | 7 |
| 8 | 7 | WINNING DATA | 7.0% | 14.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | TOP PEAK | 6.5% | 15.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | COME FAST FAY FAY | 3.9% | 25.95 | 10 |
| 11 | 4 | BUCEPHALAS | 3.1% | 32.70 | 1 |
| 12 | 11 | POWER SUMMIT | 1.5% | 65.48 | 12 |
| 13 | 10 | WATCH THE FORT | 1.4% | 70.70 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 80.5
PLACE
4 29
7 41.5
9 18
QUINELLA
4,9 249
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 199.5
4,9 91.5
7,9 155
FORECAST
4,9 511
TIERCE
4,9,7 5,638
TRIO
4,7,9 1,146
FIRST 4
3,4,7,9 2,152
QUARTET
4,9,7,3 49,732
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST TREBLE
14/2/4 4,330
14/2/9 246
4TH DOUBLE
2/4 1,252
2/9 46.5