沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 09:25
第 9場
2025-11-15沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米。由R Kingscote策騎、D Eustace訓練的LOCH TAY勝出。DRAGON AIR FORCE獲得亞軍；RELIABLE PROFIT獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.3倍大熱門RELIABLE PROFIT跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | LOCH TAY 後段發力 1:38.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 5 | 21.0 | — |
| 2 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE 後段發力 H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | RELIABLE PROFIT 後段發力 Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 10 | 4.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | SNOWFIELD 後段發力 C Y Ho · M Newnham | C Y Ho | M Newnham | 1 | 6.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 6 | KEMPES 後段發力 A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 11 | 7.8 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | GOOD LUCK BABE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 9 | MASK RIDER 早段領放 M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | ENDEARED 後段發力 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 8 | 9.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | ARIEL E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 7 | 18.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT 後段發力 J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 12 | 15.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 14 | NEARLY FINE A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 13 | 81.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT H T Mo · F C Lor | H T Mo | F C Lor | 6 | 44.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 3 | CALL ME TOPSEED C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 14 | 94.0 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | RELIABLE PROFIT | 22.4% | 4.47 | 3 |
| 2 | 4 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 10.6% | 9.40 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | ARIEL | 10.1% | 9.94 | 10 |
| 4 | 13 | GOOD LUCK BABE | 9.4% | 10.67 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | PRECISION GOAL | 8.6% | 11.58 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | ENDEARED | 7.7% | 12.91 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | KEMPES | 7.6% | 13.22 | 5 |
| 8 | 1 | SNOWFIELD | 6.8% | 14.68 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT | 5.2% | 19.37 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | NEVER PETER OUT | 3.0% | 33.29 | 13 |
| 11 | 9 | MASK RIDER | 2.9% | 34.50 | 7 |
| 12 | 14 | NEARLY FINE | 2.6% | 39.12 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | CALL ME TOPSEED | 2.0% | 51.14 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | LOCH TAY | 1.2% | 80.28 | 1 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 210.5
PLACE
4 19.5
7 19.5
8 73
QUINELLA
4,8 572.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 46
4,8 217.5
7,8 274
FORECAST
8,4 1,697
TIERCE
8,4,7 12,755
TRIO
4,7,8 1,392
FIRST 4
1,4,7,8 1,790
QUARTET
8,4,7,1 72,875
全部彩池（另 1 項）
8TH DOUBLE
F/8 278