沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 05:35
第 2場
2025-11-15沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1800米。由L Ferraris策騎、P C Ng訓練的ON THE LASH勝出。COOL BLUE獲得亞軍；NINJA DERBY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.7倍大熱門NINJA DERBY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ON THE LASH 後段發力 1:48.20 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | — |
| 2 | 13 | COOL BLUE 後段發力 R Kingscote · W Y So | R Kingscote | W Y So | 11 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 6 | NINJA DERBY 後段發力 L Hewitson · B Crawford | L Hewitson | B Crawford | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | GOLD TACK 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 9 | 8.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI 早段領放 H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 10 | 12.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 1 | 7.3 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT 後段發力 J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 7 | 6.3 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | CELESTIAL PATCH 後段發力 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 4 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | SMART TRIO 後段發力 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 13 | 74.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE 後段發力 C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 6 | 15.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | JOLLY JUMPER P N Wong · W K Mo | P N Wong | W K Mo | 14 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 8 | 15.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 12 | 24.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 15.0 | 13-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLD TACK | 19.4% | 5.17 | 4 |
| 2 | 9 | ON THE LASH | 8.1% | 12.36 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 8.0% | 12.47 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | NINJA DERBY | 7.6% | 13.15 | 3 |
| 5 | 4 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 7.5% | 13.31 | 14 |
| 6 | 8 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 7.5% | 13.32 | 12 |
| 7 | 7 | WAH MAY WAI WAI | 6.9% | 14.49 | 5 |
| 8 | 14 | HARRY'S HERO | 6.9% | 14.59 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 6.8% | 14.80 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 6.2% | 16.24 | 8 |
| 11 | 13 | COOL BLUE | 4.5% | 22.07 | 2 |
| 12 | 12 | LEATHER MASTER | 4.5% | 22.18 | 13 |
| 13 | 1 | JOLLY JUMPER | 4.4% | 22.52 | 11 |
| 14 | 5 | SMART TRIO | 1.8% | 57.03 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 126.5
PLACE
6 19.5
9 43.5
13 33
QUINELLA
9,13 610.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 109
6,13 127.5
9,13 186
FORECAST
9,13 1,303
TIERCE
9,13,6 4,568
TRIO
6,9,13 779
FIRST 4
6,9,10,13 602
QUARTET
9,13,6,10 16,142
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
10/9 857.5
10/13 133.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,14/6,9,13 257,799