沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 06:40
第 4場
2025-11-15沙田第4場，Class 3，途程1000米。由A Atzeni策騎、M Newnham訓練的CRIMSON FLASH勝出。FAST RESPONDER獲得亞軍；SPARKLING FELLOW獲得季軍。5.4倍大熱門SPARKLING FELLOW跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH 0:56.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 7 | 6.1 | — |
| 2 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 14 | 7.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | SPARKLING FELLOW A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 11 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | CHILL BUDDY L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 8.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | LOVE TOGETHER C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | PARENTS' LOVE Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | VICTOR THE RAPID M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 8 | 45.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 1 | 6.1 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | CHICKEN DINNER H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 9 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | PEGAS H Doyle · Y S Tsui | H Doyle | Y S Tsui | 2 | 37.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | SUPERB KING M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 3 | 38.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | E HO HO C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 99.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | DANICA'S CHOICE K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 6 | 42.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | STELLAR EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 17.0 | 8 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CASA OF HONOR | 18.1% | 5.51 | 8 |
| 2 | 12 | SPARKLING FELLOW | 16.1% | 6.21 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | PARENTS' LOVE | 11.5% | 8.67 | 6 |
| 4 | 3 | FAST RESPONDER | 10.5% | 9.51 | 2 |
| 5 | 2 | CRIMSON FLASH | 8.6% | 11.60 | 1 |
| 6 | 5 | LOVE TOGETHER | 7.6% | 13.20 | 5 |
| 7 | 9 | CHILL BUDDY | 6.7% | 14.91 | 4 |
| 8 | 7 | PEGAS | 4.6% | 21.90 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | E HO HO | 3.2% | 31.60 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | CHICKEN DINNER | 2.9% | 33.97 | 9 |
| 11 | 11 | DANICA'S CHOICE | 2.9% | 34.55 | 13 |
| 12 | 1 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 2.8% | 35.19 | 14 |
| 13 | 14 | VICTOR THE RAPID | 2.5% | 40.10 | 7 |
| 14 | 13 | SUPERB KING | 1.9% | 52.46 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 61
PLACE
2 21
3 26
12 18.5
QUINELLA
2,3 230
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 83
2,12 61.5
3,12 61.5
FORECAST
2,3 491
TIERCE
2,3,12 1,696
TRIO
2,3,12 251
FIRST 4
2,3,9,12 620
QUARTET
2,3,12,9 16,780
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,11,14/2,3,12 18,885
3RD DOUBLE
14/2 307
14/3 50.5