沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 08:15
第 7場
2025-11-15沙田第7場，Class 2，途程1200米。由Z Purton策騎、K L Man訓練的PATCH OF STARS勝出。INVINCIBLE SHIELD獲得亞軍；AERIS NOVA獲得季軍。頭馬以3.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF STARS 1:08.88 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 3.3 | — |
| 2 | 2 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 26.0 | N |
| 3 | 11 | AERIS NOVA M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | DANCING CODE E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 2 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SWIFT ASCEND A Badel · D Eustace | A Badel | D Eustace | 14 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 10 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | STORM RIDER K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 25.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED H Doyle · D A Hayes | H Doyle | D A Hayes | 5 | 32.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN R Kingscote · C S Shum | R Kingscote | C S Shum | 12 | 63.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | CALL ME GLORIOUS M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 3 | 71.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | AURORA LADY J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 13 | 15.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 5 | HORSEPOWER M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 30.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | WHIZZ KID H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 8 | 96.0 | 16-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PATCH OF STARS | 28.8% | 3.48 | 1 |
| 2 | 11 | AERIS NOVA | 16.7% | 5.99 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | DANCING CODE | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | STORM RIDER | 6.6% | 15.23 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | HARMONY N BLESSED | 4.3% | 23.43 | 9 |
| 6 | 6 | AURORA LADY | 4.2% | 23.81 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | LADY'S CHOICE | 4.1% | 24.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | MASTEROFMYUNIVERSE | 4.1% | 24.45 | 8 |
| 9 | 5 | HORSEPOWER | 3.8% | 26.31 | 13 |
| 10 | 14 | SWIFT ASCEND | 3.5% | 28.80 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | CALL ME GLORIOUS | 3.2% | 31.21 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | WHIZZ KID | 3.1% | 32.53 | 14 |
| 13 | 2 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 2.6% | 38.02 | 2 |
| 14 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN | 2.3% | 42.99 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 33.5
PLACE
2 83.5
9 15
11 15.5
QUINELLA
2,9 489
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 166
2,11 183
9,11 30.5
FORECAST
9,2 610
TIERCE
9,2,11 2,908
TRIO
2,9,11 418
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 802
QUARTET
9,2,11,3 14,077
全部彩池（另 1 項）
6TH DOUBLE
5/2 280.5
5/9 247.5