沙田 · 2025-11-15 · 07:45
第 6場
2025-11-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1650米。由Z Purton策騎、P C Ng訓練的SUPREME AGILITY勝出。CALIFORNIA STAR獲得亞軍；SIGHT DREAMER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.4倍大熱門NIGHT PUROSANGUE跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY 後段發力 1:38.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 13 | 7.5 | — |
| 2 | 10 | CALIFORNIA STAR 後段發力 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 11.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER 後段發力 M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 10 | 22.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION 後段發力 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE 後段發力 B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 2 | 4.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FORTUNE KINGO 後段發力 R Kingscote · K H Ting | R Kingscote | K H Ting | 14 | 59.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | BRIGHT MORTAR 後段發力 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 5 | 67.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 9 | 8.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 9 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 12 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 6 | 8.2 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | MR COOL A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 1 | 5.1 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND E C W Wong · D Eustace | E C W Wong | D Eustace | 3 | 16.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK 後段發力 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 11 | 23.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT 早段領放 P N Wong · C H Yip | P N Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 28.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | MR COOL | 20.3% | 4.93 | 11 |
| 2 | 13 | NIGHT PUROSANGUE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | SHANGHAI STYLE | 10.3% | 9.71 | 10 |
| 4 | 6 | FASHION LEGEND | 9.7% | 10.27 | 12 |
| 5 | 10 | CALIFORNIA STAR | 8.5% | 11.78 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SUPREME AGILITY | 7.3% | 13.64 | 1 |
| 7 | 11 | HAPPY ACTION | 5.6% | 18.01 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | YODA'S CHOICE | 5.0% | 19.91 | 8 |
| 9 | 9 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 5.0% | 20.17 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | LUCK IS BACK | 4.5% | 22.23 | 13 |
| 11 | 14 | SIGHT DREAMER | 3.6% | 27.49 | 3 |
| 12 | 4 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 3.1% | 32.51 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | BRIGHT MORTAR | 1.7% | 58.65 | 7 |
| 14 | 7 | FORTUNE KINGO | 1.2% | 80.62 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 75.5
PLACE
5 25
10 32.5
14 66.5
QUINELLA
5,10 507
QUINELLA PLACE
5,10 142.5
5,14 253.5
10,14 473
FORECAST
5,10 936
TIERCE
5,10,14 15,857
TRIO
5,10,14 2,960
FIRST 4
5,10,11,14 7,328
QUARTET
5,10,14,11 116,061
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,9/5,10,14 245,857
5TH DOUBLE
4/5 989
4/10 142
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,12/4,7,9/Any Combination 33,554