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Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 5 1800m Course A+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1:48.20
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 ON THE LASH Closed strongly 1:48.20 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · P C Ng 5 12.0 —
2 13 COOL BLUE Closed strongly R Kingscote · W Y So 11 11.0 N
3 6 NINJA DERBY Closed strongly L Hewitson · B Crawford 2 4.7 1-1/4
4 10 GOLD TACK Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall 9 8.4 2-1/2
5 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI Led early H Bowman · A S Cruz 10 12.0 3-1/4
6 14 HARRY'S HERO M Chadwick · P F Yiu 1 7.3 4-1/4
7 2 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly J McDonald · J Richards 7 6.3 4-3/4
8 3 CELESTIAL PATCH Closed strongly A Atzeni · D Eustace 4 15.0 5
9 5 SMART TRIO Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang 13 74.0 7-1/4
10 11 CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly C L Chau · K H Ting 6 15.0 7-1/2
11 1 JOLLY JUMPER P N Wong · W K Mo 14 30.0 7-1/2
12 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY H Doyle · D A Hayes 8 15.0 8-3/4
13 12 LEATHER MASTER C Y Ho · K L Man 12 24.0 9-3/4
14 4 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY K Teetan · C H Yip 3 15.0 13-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was Class 5 over 1800m. ON THE LASH, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by P C Ng, won, with COOL BLUE second and NINJA DERBY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.7 favourite NINJA DERBY finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. ON THE LASH—2. COOL BLUE+0.05L3. NINJA DERBY+1.25L4. GOLD TACK+2.5L5. WAH MAY WAI WAI+3.25L6. HARRY'S HERO+4.25L7. ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT+4.75L8. CELESTIAL PATCH+5L9. SMART TRIO+7.25L10. CHATEAU LE PECHE+7.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick GOLD TACK (19.4%) finished 4th — the winner ON THE LASH was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 10 GOLD TACK 19.4% 5.17 4
2 9 ON THE LASH 8.1% 12.36 1
3 2 ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT 8.0% 12.47 7
4 6 NINJA DERBY 7.6% 13.15 3
5 4 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 7.5% 13.31 14
6 8 CELESTIAL HARMONY 7.5% 13.32 12
7 7 WAH MAY WAI WAI 6.9% 14.49 5
8 14 HARRY'S HERO 6.9% 14.59 6
9 11 CHATEAU LE PECHE 6.8% 14.80 10
10 3 CELESTIAL PATCH 6.2% 16.24 8
11 13 COOL BLUE 4.5% 22.07 2
12 12 LEATHER MASTER 4.5% 22.18 13
13 1 JOLLY JUMPER 4.4% 22.52 11
14 5 SMART TRIO 1.8% 57.03 9
GOLD TACKON THE LASH — wonROSEWOOD FLEETFOOTNINJA DERBYYIU CHEUNG VICTORYCELESTIAL HARMONYWAH MAY WAI WAIHARRY'S HEROCHATEAU LE PECHECELESTIAL PATCHCOOL BLUELEATHER MASTERJOLLY JUMPERSMART TRIO

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 126.5

PLACE

6 19.5

9 43.5

13 33

QUINELLA

9,13 610.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 109

6,13 127.5

9,13 186

FORECAST

9,13 1,303

TIERCE

9,13,6 4,568

TRIO

6,9,13 779

FIRST 4

6,9,10,13 602

QUARTET

9,13,6,10 16,142

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

10/9 857.5

10/13 133.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,14/6,9,13 257,799