Sha Tin · 2025-11-15 · 06:05
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-11-15 was Class 4 over 2000m. DOUBLE WIN, ridden by H Doyle and trained by K L Man, won, with SUPREME MASTERMIND second and SERANGOON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.8 favourite FIREFOOT finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly 2:02.48 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Doyle · K L Man | H Doyle | K L Man | 11 | 6.0 | — |
| 2 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND Closed strongly J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 11 | SERANGOON Closed strongly Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS K De Melo · B Crawford | K De Melo | B Crawford | 3 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 13 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GOOD GOOD B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 6 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | FIREFOOT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 1 | 3.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS Closed strongly Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 14 | 33.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 12 | VIVA TASTE K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 2 | 10.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR Led early M L Yeung · A S Cruz | M L Yeung | A S Cruz | 5 | 17.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | PACKING HURRICANE P N Wong · P C Ng | P N Wong | P C Ng | 10 | 22.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 13 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 7 | 66.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | ILLUMINOUS J Orman · F C Lor | J Orman | F C Lor | 12 | 50.0 | 70-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | FIREFOOT | 17.0% | 5.87 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | SERANGOON | 16.4% | 6.10 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | DOUBLE WIN | 10.4% | 9.61 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | PACKING HURRICANE | 7.7% | 13.02 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | FOREVER GLORIOUS | 7.7% | 13.03 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | SUPREME MASTERMIND | 7.3% | 13.76 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA TASTE | 5.4% | 18.44 | 9 |
| 8 | 3 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 5.4% | 18.69 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | GOOD GOOD | 5.3% | 18.75 | 6 |
| 10 | 2 | SHARPEN BRIGHT | 5.1% | 19.63 | 10 |
| 11 | 10 | KINGLY DEMEANOR | 4.6% | 21.87 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | FOREVER FOLKS | 3.6% | 27.84 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | ILLUMINOUS | 2.6% | 38.81 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER GOLDENDRAGON | 1.6% | 62.85 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
14 60
PLACE
1 40
11 19
14 23.5
QUINELLA
1,14 438.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,11 155.5
1,14 150
11,14 77.5
FORECAST
14,1 829
TIERCE
14,1,11 4,547
TRIO
1,11,14 895
FIRST 4
1,8,11,14 6,599
QUARTET
14,1,11,8 117,424
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
9/1 174
9/14 604