Happy Valley · 2025-12-23 · 11:15
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-23 was Class 4 over 1650m. ABSOLUTE AWAKENED, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won, with SETANTA second and TURIN WARRIOR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite KASA PAPA finished 7th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED Closed strongly 1:39.64 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 6.9 | — |
| 2 | 11 | SETANTA Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 10 | 20.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 11 | 22.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT Closed strongly H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | PING HAI COMET M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 4 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly H Doyle · A S Cruz | H Doyle | A S Cruz | 5 | 2.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 5 | PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly B Avdulla · P F Yiu | B Avdulla | P F Yiu | 12 | 9.8 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER Led early C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 3 | 8.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY M Guyon · C S Shum | M Guyon | C S Shum | 2 | 10.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GREAT LEGACY M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 58.0 | 22-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | ABSOLUTE AWAKENED | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | KASA PAPA | 14.7% | 6.80 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | NOBLE PURSUIT | 12.6% | 7.96 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | TURIN WARRIOR | 9.8% | 10.23 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 9.3% | 10.75 | 9 |
| 6 | 2 | FUN TOGETHER | 6.8% | 14.68 | 10 |
| 7 | 6 | PING HAI COMET | 6.6% | 15.15 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | AMAZING AWARD | 5.1% | 19.62 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | SETANTA | 4.9% | 20.56 | 2 |
| 10 | 9 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.0% | 24.92 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | JOYFUL PROSPERITY | 2.8% | 35.93 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | GREAT LEGACY | 1.4% | 70.75 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 69.5
PLACE
4 32
7 24.5
11 53
QUINELLA
7,11 690
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 124
4,11 373
7,11 177.5
FORECAST
7,11 1,039
TIERCE
7,11,4 9,843
TRIO
4,7,11 1,788
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 3,568
QUARTET
7,11,4,3 81,000
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
10/7 705
10/11 323.5