Happy Valley · 2025-12-23 · 13:15
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-23 was Class 3 over 2200m. THE AUSPICIOUS, ridden by M Guyon and trained by Y S Tsui, won, with LIVEANDLETLIVE second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly 2:15.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Guyon · Y S Tsui | M Guyon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 4.1 | — |
| 2 | 3 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Led early M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 4 | 6.8 | NOSE |
| 3 | 11 | MONEY CATCHER Closed strongly H Doyle · F C Lor | H Doyle | F C Lor | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 4 | SNOWFIELD Closed strongly A Atzeni · M Newnham | A Atzeni | M Newnham | 2 | 6.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | ENTHRALLED Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 3 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 6 | 10 | AGENDA K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 5 | 8.8 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | AESTHETICISM M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 6 | 42.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | STURDY RUBY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K L Man | C Y Ho | K L Man | 10 | 54.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | WROTE A NEW PAGE H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 12 | 26.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | ROMANTIC THOR H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 11 | 13.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN L Hewitson · D Eustace | L Hewitson | D Eustace | 7 | 11.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 20.4% | 4.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 6 | ENTHRALLED | 19.4% | 5.15 | 5 |
| 3 | 12 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 13.0% | 7.67 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 10.2% | 9.81 | 9 |
| 5 | 4 | SNOWFIELD | 8.9% | 11.30 | 4 |
| 6 | 8 | CHARITY GAIN | 7.0% | 14.34 | 12 |
| 7 | 1 | ROMANTIC THOR | 5.3% | 19.03 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | AGENDA | 4.3% | 23.43 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | STURDY RUBY | 4.0% | 25.00 | 8 |
| 10 | 5 | TURIN MASCOT | 3.1% | 31.83 | 10 |
| 11 | 11 | MONEY CATCHER | 2.5% | 39.78 | 3 |
| 12 | 9 | AESTHETICISM | 1.9% | 51.48 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 41
PLACE
3 24
11 39.5
12 17.5
QUINELLA
3,12 179
QUINELLA PLACE
3,11 166.5
3,12 66.5
11,12 97
FORECAST
12,3 316
TIERCE
12,3,11 3,279
TRIO
3,11,12 726
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 785
QUARTET
12,3,11,4 18,248
All pools (1 more)
5TH DOUBLE
3/3 51.5
3/12 359