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Happy Valley · 2025-12-23 · 14:55

Race 9

Class 2 1650m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 at Happy Valley on 2025-12-23 was Class 2 over 1650m. HELENE FEELING, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won, with KAHOLO ANGEL second and HUGE WAVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite REGAL GEM finished 6th.

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 HELENE FEELING Closed strongly ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum 7.1
1 5 KAHOLO ANGEL Closed strongly ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C Fownes 45.0
3 4 HUGE WAVE Closed strongly H Bentley · K H Ting 2 4.5 SH
4 3 SOLEIL FIGHTER A Atzeni · D A Hayes 3 6.5 1-1/4
5 2 STEPS AHEAD Closed strongly H Doyle · K W Lui 10 9.3 2-1/4
6 7 REGAL GEM Z Purton · F C Lor 8 3.7 2-1/2
7 8 JUMBO LEGEND Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes 12 18.0 2-1/2
8 11 I CAN Closed strongly M F Poon · P C Ng 9 15.0 2-3/4
9 12 FALLON Closed strongly M L Yeung · A S Cruz 4 8.8 4-1/2
10 9 SHANWAH Closed strongly L Hewitson · D J Whyte 6 37.0 5-3/4
11 10 TELECOM FIGHTERS H T Mo · Y S Tsui 1 37.0 6
12 6 HARMONY N BLESSED Led early L Ferraris · D A Hayes 11 70.0 11

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HELENE FEELING1. KAHOLO ANGEL3. HUGE WAVE+0.1L4. SOLEIL FIGHTER+1.25L5. STEPS AHEAD+2.25L6. REGAL GEM+2.5L7. JUMBO LEGEND+2.5L8. I CAN+2.75L9. FALLON+4.5L10. SHANWAH+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2025-26
The model's top pick SOLEIL FIGHTER (21.2%) finished 4th — the winner HELENE FEELING was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 3 SOLEIL FIGHTER 21.2% 4.72 4
2 7 REGAL GEM 19.5% 5.14 6
3 4 HUGE WAVE 15.0% 6.65 3
4 1 HELENE FEELING 11.7% 8.58 1
5 2 STEPS AHEAD 8.2% 12.21 5
6 12 FALLON 4.7% 21.47 9
7 11 I CAN 4.4% 22.55 8
8 5 KAHOLO ANGEL 4.2% 23.54 1
9 8 JUMBO LEGEND 3.9% 25.46 7
10 6 HARMONY N BLESSED 2.9% 34.34 12
11 9 SHANWAH 2.2% 45.63 10
12 10 TELECOM FIGHTERS 2.1% 47.70 11
SOLEIL FIGHTERREGAL GEMHUGE WAVEHELENE FEELING — wonSTEPS AHEADFALLONI CANKAHOLO ANGEL — wonJUMBO LEGENDHARMONY N BLESSEDSHANWAHTELECOM FIGHTERS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 36

5 228

PLACE

1 23.5

4 17.5

5 94

QUINELLA

1,5 1,334.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 63.5

1,5 380.5

4,5 284.5

FORECAST

1,5 1,243

5,1 1,610

TIERCE

1,5,4 9,305

5,1,4 13,284

TRIO

1,4,5 2,557

FIRST 4

1,3,4,5 2,154

QUARTET

1,5,4,3 33,480

5,1,4,3 37,442

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

10/11/1 1,097

10/11/5 5,455

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

7,11,12/1,4,5 140,462

8TH DOUBLE

11/1 281.5

11/5 767.5

SIX UP

1/3/12/10/11/1 102,473

1/3/12/10/11/5 549,626

1,4/3,4/3,12/8,10/7,11/1,5 26,187

3 [M Guyon]

12 [Y S Tsui]