Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 18:40
KWOON CHUNG MOTORS HANDICAP
Race 1
Track detail
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER SICARIO Closed strongly 1:49.35 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 5 | 4.2 | — |
| 2 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE Closed strongly H/XB A Badel · B Crawford | A Badel | B Crawford | 9 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | PERFECT PAIRING Closed strongly B A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 11 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS Closed strongly TT D B McMonagle · D A Hayes | D B McMonagle | D A Hayes | 2 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | ON THE LASH B/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 33.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 12 | DRAGON SUNRISE P/XB L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 10.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | JOLLY JUMPER Led early BO/SR/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 6 | 8.2 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS TT C L Chau · D Eustace | C L Chau | D Eustace | 3 | 5.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT Closed strongly B-/V2/TT R Kingscote · P F Yiu | R Kingscote | P F Yiu | 10 | 16.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | KASA PAPA TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 4 | 5.4 | 5 |
| 11 | 8 | SMILING EMPEROR V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 1 | 22.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 11 | PERPETUAL POWER CP/TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 8 | 103.0 | 19 |
| — | 0 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT · C H Yip | — | C H Yip | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CARRYON SMILING TT · W Y So | — | W Y So | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 ("KWOON CHUNG MOTORS HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. SUPER SICARIO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won, with ALL ARE MINE second and PERFECT PAIRING third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPER SICARIO | 18.4% | 5.43 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | KASA PAPA | 13.9% | 7.21 | 10 |
| 3 | 8 | SMILING EMPEROR | 12.8% | 7.81 | 11 |
| 4 | 4 | HAILTOTHEVICTORS | 11.1% | 8.99 | 8 |
| 5 | 3 | CONSPIRACY WITNESS | 8.9% | 11.21 | 4 |
| 6 | 9 | ALL ARE MINE | 8.0% | 12.45 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | PERFECT PAIRING | 6.5% | 15.30 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | DRAGON SUNRISE | 5.8% | 17.36 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | JOLLY JUMPER | 4.9% | 20.48 | 7 |
| 10 | 2 | ON THE LASH | 4.7% | 21.08 | 5 |
| 11 | 6 | ROSEWOOD FLEETFOOT | 3.4% | 29.09 | 9 |
| 12 | 11 | PERPETUAL POWER | 1.5% | 67.45 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 42.5
PLACE
5 68
7 17.5
9 26
QUINELLA
7,9 167.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 251.5
5,9 328
7,9 62
FORECAST
7,9 303
TIERCE
7,9,5 5,540
TRIO
5,7,9 1,372
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 2,587
QUARTET
7,9,5,3 48,588