Happy Valley · 2026-03-04 · 11:10
INTERCONTINENTAL LIMOUSINE HANDICAP
Race 2
Race 2 ("INTERCONTINENTAL LIMOUSINE HANDICAP") at Happy Valley on 2026-03-04 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO YIELDING going. VERBIER, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by C Fownes, won, with ONLY U second and CALL TO COMMAND third. The 3.7 favourite ORIENTAL SURPRISE finished 5th.
Track detail & race-day changes (1)
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | VERBIER B/TT 1:09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 6.3 | — |
| 2 | 6 | ONLY U B-/XB/V1 Z Purton · B Crawford | Z Purton | B Crawford | 5 | 5.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 2 | CALL TO COMMAND CP/TT H Bentley · C W Chang | H Bentley | C W Chang | 6 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY B H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 8.7 | 2 |
| 5 | 10 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE B/TT C L Chau · D A Hayes | C L Chau | D A Hayes | 4 | 3.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | CONCORDE STAR TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 12 | 12.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | THOUSAND CUPS TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 1 | 8.1 | 4 |
| 9 | 7 | RACINGRACE XB-/TT1 L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 7 | 88.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 1 | POWER SUMMIT CP R Kingscote · D Eustace | R Kingscote | D Eustace | 9 | 24.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SHINE BRIGHT B/XB1 M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 10 | 50.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | NOBLE DELUXE H/P/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 8 | 27.0 | 18-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KING ALLOY B · K H Ting | — | K H Ting | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | GALE SAGA B · P C Ng | — | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | ONLY U | 25.4% | 3.94 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | ORIENTAL SURPRISE | 20.2% | 4.95 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | CONCORDE STAR | 9.1% | 11.03 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | VERBIER | 8.4% | 11.93 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 7.4% | 13.60 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | THOUSAND CUPS | 6.7% | 14.90 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | CALL TO COMMAND | 5.7% | 17.52 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | NOBLE DELUXE | 5.0% | 20.11 | 12 |
| 9 | 1 | POWER SUMMIT | 4.2% | 23.76 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | SHINE BRIGHT | 3.2% | 31.42 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | CHEER FOR SOUTH | 2.5% | 40.55 | 6 |
| 12 | 7 | RACINGRACE | 2.4% | 41.85 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 63
PLACE
2 35
6 18.5
11 21
QUINELLA
6,11 189
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 112
2,11 162
6,11 65
FORECAST
11,6 355
TIERCE
11,6,2 5,010
TRIO
2,6,11 924
FIRST 4
2,3,6,11 1,364
QUARTET
11,6,2,3 31,542
All pools (1 more)
1ST DOUBLE
7/6 39
7/11 602